February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Yeah, happy to see our buddy John is back he released a statement in the political forum. Must have made bail.
It's currently plus 4c and light rain @ the pond in south Sardis.

[Roberts Creeker]

Raining and windy here. + 4.1 here

4" of snow in Pt Alberni and still snowing. I wish it was happening here.

[tyweather]

Port Alberni snow. Lucky people.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Port Alberni snow. Lucky people.

Yeah that Alberni valley can hold the cold in, must have been cold enough aloft as well.

[AbbyJr]

https://twitter.com/alberniweather/stat ... QL45w&s=19

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I still think the Courtney/Campbell River corridor is a better snow belt. IMO
weird John's name doesn't show up in the activity list.

[PortKells]

Another atmospheric river. Just wow.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Another atmospheric river. Just wow.

I thought there only a Nov, Dec Jan thing Kells.

[Hawk]

Port Alberni snow. Lucky people.

Unreal...how did this happen?

[Monty]

37mm of rain overnight here

[Hawk]

Here in the Simlkameens it is finally warming up with some heavy flurries this a.m....leaving only a dusting as usual. But the strong winds funneling through the tight valleys are causing blowing and drifting snow. It's quite dark and grey right now. Really socked in here

[Coquitlam79]

Rainfall warning for South Coast. Run-of-the-mill 50-70mm here as it looks like the bulk of the AR will be pointing directly at SW Washington. Up to 250mm by Tuesday morning for the Olmypics and pockets of the Central Cascades. Even areas in the lowlands south of Seattle could hit 100mm. Western Washington gonna see some flooding.

[Coquitlam79]

I thought there only a Nov, Dec Jan thing Kells.

They can occur in Feb and March too just less common. Actually we have had some strong ARs in March before. 1997 and 2007 come to mind as the strongest although we've seen heavy rains in March as recently as 2017. There were a few years around here where March was like "November 2.0". Although the last few years March has definitely trended drier. Cool, dry nw flow has been the trend. It looks like that's how March 2022 will start as well.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

They can occur in Feb and March too just less common. Actually we have had some strong ARs in March before. 1997 and 2007 come to mind as the strongest although we've seen heavy rains in March as recently as 2017. There were a few years around here where March was like "November 2.0". Although the last few years March has definitely trended drier. Cool, dry nw flow has been the trend. It looks like that's how March 2022 will start as well.

Ah thanks C79 for that informative info. and the deep dive on the stats. Yah maybe it's just l don't remember to many of them this late.
Nice to you see you back C79 l thought perhaps you enlisted.

[PortKells]

Rainfall warning for South Coast. Run-of-the-mill 50-70mm here as it looks like the bulk of the AR will be pointing directly at SW Washington. Up to 250mm by Tuesday morning for the Olmypics and pockets of the Central Cascades. Even areas in the lowlands south of Seattle could hit 100mm. Western Washington gonna see some flooding.

About frickin time I say. Although I have seen some maps that were equally bad for us.


This one's fun though..

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-7000000.png