July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Jul 10, 2022 5:35 pm Oh , well if that's the case I would never own a cabin in the Similkameenz.
Its 8 weeks of Mosquitos/ then 8 weeks of no seeums, then 8 weeks of hornets. Of course those insects hatchings overlap, so not one after the other. But the fish love the insect hatchings in the spring/summer!! :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 6:33 am I would have thought that August would have been settled as being hotter and drier than normal, but right now the CFS Monthly is showing temps will be normal next month. Some days it's showing it will be wetter and cooler than normal next month.
I’d be surprised if we didn’t get a significant heat wave in August.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 11:42 am I’d be surprised if we didn’t get a significant heat wave in August.
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2012 (analogue year for late spring/early summer this year) had a couple of short heatwaves in August:
https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 12&Month=8#

Otherwise, it was a fairly average summer month temperature-wise (mild, pleasant, coolish at times) month with almost no rain.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 12:49 pm 2012 (analogue year for late spring/early summer this year) had a couple of short heatwaves in August:
https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 12&Month=8#

Otherwise, it was a fairly average summer month temperature-wise (mild, pleasant, coolish at times) month with almost no rain.
Yeah something similar to August 2012 sounds reasonable. :thumbup:
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 1:59 pm Yeah something similar to August 2012 sounds reasonable. :thumbup:
I'm hoping we don't get a winter like 2012/2013, l recall it wasn't that great. :thumbdown: it's a roasty toasty 30c now @ the pond in south Sardis.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Hawk wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:30 am Its 8 weeks of Mosquitos/ then 8 weeks of no seeums, then 8 weeks of hornets. Of course those insects hatchings overlap, so not one after the other. But the fish love the insect hatchings in the spring/summer!! :clap: :clap:
No black flies? No doubt rainbow trout love their insects but I thought you weren't into flyfishing. And I've never heard of no-seeum or hornet imitations.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 2:28 pm I'm hoping we don't get a winter like 2012/2013, l recall it wasn't that great. :thumbdown: it's a roasty toasty 30c now @ the pond in south Sardis.
I only remember the Jan 2012 Arctic outbreak which was decent. I'm ok with the first half of December being uneventful with my baby being due at the beginning of December. :)
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 2:28 pm I'm hoping we don't get a winter like 2012/2013, l recall it wasn't that great. :thumbdown: it's a roasty toasty 30c now @ the pond in south Sardis.
We had a snowstorm on Dec 18/19th (that was the first instance of the Port Mann bridge ice bombs) and white Christmas in 2012 at least. Granted it was pretty melty since the the couple days leading up to the 25th were showery/slushy.

Unfortunately that was basically the only real winter weather we had that winter. January 2013 was cool at times but that was due to a prolonged inversion with lots of fog at the surface.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 1:59 pm Yeah something similar to August 2012 sounds reasonable. :thumbup:
Hopefully a September 2012 repeat to follow as well. :lol:

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 12&Month=9
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (27).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (28).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (29).png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

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20220712005337-e1e4dbf6966131b50a87406e06a79e77af4a0b4a.png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 3:55 pm We had a snowstorm on Dec 18/19th (that was the first instance of the Port Mann bridge ice bombs) and white Christmas in 2012 at least. Granted it was pretty melty since the the couple days leading up to the 25th were showery/slushy.

Unfortunately that was basically the only real winter weather we had that winter. January 2013 was cool at times but that was due to a prolonged inversion with lots of fog at the surface.
Yes Tsmart, that January/February 2013 was wimpy by my memory. Inversion and fog fests l remember. :thumbdown:
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Forrest Gump wrote: Mon Jul 11, 2022 3:36 pm No black flies? No doubt rainbow trout love their insects but I thought you weren't into flyfishing. And I've never heard of no-seeum or hornet imitations.
Haha. I forgot the black flies. They're next! I dont fly fish...slay em trolling :wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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