July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 12:44 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 12:21 pm Where is the smoke coming from? We drove through the canyon yesterday and apart from a bit of haze, the skies were clear.

Upper level smoke from the SW US. Low level smoke from BC Interior (Lytton). Weak surface outflow will bring it into the region Wednesday.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 12:53 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 12:44 pm Upper level smoke from the SW US. Low level smoke from BC Interior (Lytton). Weak surface outflow will bring it into the region Wednesday.

Do you think the smoke will be thick enough to lower temperatures?

Rubus_Leucodermis · Post by **Rubus_Leucodermis** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 1:23 pm

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 7:22 am Humidity levels down there are prolly much lower than here. A 37c in the desert feels ok...kinda like oven heat, where 34 and humid feels like sweaty Betty sauna heat, and much worser..u guys picking up what im throwing down?

True, but day after day after day of highs in the 32 to 38Ã‚Â°C range and it gets old. Particularly those 38+Ã‚Â°C days where it takes forever to cool down and even at midnight the temperature is above 30. Dryness does help but beyond a certain point it is just hot and miserable no matter how dry it is. Yes Mom's house has two swamp coolers which work great in the dry desert air but one is still stuck spending the day cooped up indoors sheltering from the extreme heat outside.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 1:29 pm

https://mobile.twitter.com/ensembleator ... 9507452928

https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 3211264000
https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 1917883400
https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 2450668546

https://mobile.twitter.com/MMadryga/sta ... 8558294016
https://mobile.twitter.com/MMadryga/sta ... 7988840449

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 1:30 pm

https://mobile.twitter.com/chrisnunley/ ... 2475064321
https://mobile.twitter.com/chrisnunley/ ... 9465311237
https://mobile.twitter.com/chrisnunley/ ... 2775247873
https://mobile.twitter.com/chrisnunley/ ... 5712141312

https://mobile.twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy ... 3375095808

https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSPortland/ ... 4279296000

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 1:33 pm

https://mobile.twitter.com/judah47/stat ... 2044840960
https://mobile.twitter.com/judah47/stat ... 1054145536

https://mobile.twitter.com/chrisnunley/ ... 8101791747

https://mobile.twitter.com/ingallswx/st ... 8044281857

https://mobile.twitter.com/webberweathe ... 2594686976
https://mobile.twitter.com/webberweathe ... 4394421248

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:14 pm

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (6).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (7).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (8).png

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:15 pm

20220725211314-612005eb0c356eddd88f4c8b2943f50d3b1d9245.png

Roberts Creeker · Post by **Roberts Creeker** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:31 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 10:49 am On the contrary... bring it more often!

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:54 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 11:33 am I'm ready for fall/winter.

September is just around the corner

...and then its all downhill from there...in the temp department

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:56 pm

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 1:23 pm True, but day after day after day of highs in the 32 to 38Ã‚Â°C range and it gets old. Particularly those 38+Ã‚Â°C days where it takes forever to cool down and even at midnight the temperature is above 30. Dryness does help but beyond a certain point it is just hot and miserable no matter how dry it is. Yes Mom's house has two swamp coolers which work great in the dry desert air but one is still stuck spending the day cooped up indoors sheltering from the extreme heat outside.

Oh i see. I thought it would cool down at night. I guess not. That really sucks

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:57 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 12:53 pm Do you think the smoke will be thick enough to lower temperatures?

Remains to be seen. For sure the upper level smoke should impact temps Thurs onwards.

Full on blazing heat tomorrow. Think it will overperform in the Fraser Valley tomorrow with 40C possible.

Rubus_Leucodermis · Post by **Rubus_Leucodermis** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 3:14 pm

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:56 pm Oh i see. I thought it would cool down at night. I guess not. That really sucks

I remember it as cooling down more when I was a kid, but then again that was from remote reports; I lived in a small town significantly higher in elevation at the time. It did almost always cool down at night there; in about five years of weather observations I recorded maybe a handful of times where the temperature failed to cool below 60Ã‹Å¡F at night. I recorded frosts every month except July and August. I still have the Ã¢â‚¬Å“SixÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s thermometerÃ¢â‚¬Â I used to record maxima and minima.

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 3:33 pm

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 3:14 pm I remember it as cooling down more when I was a kid, but then again that was from remote reports; I lived in a small town significantly higher in elevation at the time. It did almost always cool down at night there; in about five years of weather observations I recorded maybe a handful of times where the temperature failed to cool below 60Ã‹Å¡F at night. I recorded frosts every month except July and August. I still have the Ã¢â‚¬Å“SixÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s thermometerÃ¢â‚¬Â I used to record maxima and minima.

Uh....cool?

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Jul 25, 2022 3:34 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:57 pm Remains to be seen. For sure the upper level smoke should impact temps Thurs onwards.

Full on blazing heat tomorrow. Think it will overperform in the Fraser Valley tomorrow with 40C possible.

Nito is stepping up the predicts!

I'm going with 37.8 at YXX

and

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