August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Mad Vlad is back! :lol:
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:44 pm No no we must subscribe to the "worst case scenario" bias. That is the Nito way!
I'd like to see him enter one of the forecast contests once. :P
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:45 pm Yeah , natural vitamin D sucks...oh how I long for the depressing and never ending days,weeks,and months of rain and overcast skies.
I'll take the June 2021 heat dome over 10-15c rain in the middle of summer.

In recent times think back to July 1st-3rd, 2020. Horrifically cold and rainy:
Screenshot 2022-08-09 164957.png
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:50 pm I'll take the June 2021 heat dome over 10-15c rain in the middle of summer.

In recent times think back to July 1st-3rd, 2020. Horrifically cold and rainy:
Screenshot 2022-08-09 164957.png
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
The PNE is historically rainy, which is funny. This year seems to be different though.

The models are showing a "cooldown" of mid to upper 20s followed by low to mid 30s in the middle of next week and another cool down after that into the weekend.

I'm having a family "reunion" picnic in Vancouver the following weekend of the 21st with seniors in their 80s. Hopefully it's cool enough.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:50 pm I'll take the June 2021 heat dome over 10-15c rain in the middle of summer.

In recent times think back to July 1st-3rd, 2020. Horrifically cold and rainy:
Screenshot 2022-08-09 164957.png
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
https://www.kelownahomes.ca/blog/moving-to-kelowna.html
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:54 pm The PNE is historically rainy, which is funny. This year seems to be different though.
Ah yes, the good old PNE rains. It's pretty cyclical actually.

If I recall correctly there was an especially long streak or several years in the 80s/90s (even some years in the 00s) when we had many cool/rainy days toward the end of August, which is why many who lived or grew up around here around then have associated rain with the PNE. By contrast, most late August periods during the years in the 60s/70s and in the 2010s were mostly warm and dry.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Nice summer climate, but definitely not enough yearly precip.

Prefer Mediterranean precip patterns, like we have here. Would be nice if it was more extreme with plentiful precip during the cool months and dry during the warm months coupled with a continental climate-like temps. Adding a couple degrees to summer temps and subtracting a couple degrees from winter temps it would look something like this actually: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mazama,_W ... on#Climate
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Forrest Gump wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:45 pm Yeah , natural vitamin D sucks...oh how I long for the depressing and never ending days,weeks,and months of rain and overcast skies.
I’ll take the rain, thanks. ;)
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18Z Euro is a bit less bullish with the storms tomorrow. Still moves through some thunder in the evening, but not as widespread or sustained. Stay tuned!
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 3:25 pm Mid-upper 30s for 4 days for Inland areas with lows only reaching down to 20.

A brutal summer so far.
About time we got a heatwave around here.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 4:44 pm No no we must subscribe to the "worst case scenario" bias. That is the Nito way!
Isn't that just what we keep getting?
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 5:42 pm Isn't that just what we keep getting?
Only with respect to positive temperature departures.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 5:42 pm Isn't that just what we keep getting?
Marine layer days have definitely become few and far between. Maybe that is my confirmation bias at play, but even my wife was saying that the other day.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Tue Aug 09, 2022 5:41 pm About time we got a heatwave around here.
Agreed! 8-) :thumbup:
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