August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 5348660224

https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/status/1 ... 9178300416
https://twitter.com/NWSSeattle/status/1 ... 7417732097

https://twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy/status ... 9916715009
https://twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy/status ... 6851686405

https://twitter.com/vlad_rad/status/1561073014640353282

https://twitter.com/MuketyMuk/status/15 ... 7178115072
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20220821210219-2eb3998946c381e9dbbdb61e11ee4931c65567b8.png
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 14-16 days total precip on the ensembles

12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png

12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_56.png

12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 21, 2022 2:05 pm Next 14-16 days total precip on the ensembles

12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png


12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_56.png


12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
The big white donut has shifted :)
Def looks a lot more troffy now. With NW flow. Mark it down!! Cooler wetter long term :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert:
Today in the Similkameens, it was mostly sunny this morning and then variable clouds this afternoon due to a somewhat unstable air mass. It looked like some thunderstorms may form but in the area of the Similkameens that I'm in, nothing happened :x
Oh well. There's always next time. :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Image


Note: Also cross posted pic in the Weather Stats thread here: https://forums.bcstorms.ca/viewtopic.ph ... 31#p932331
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 21, 2022 5:23 pm Image


Note: Also cross posted pic in the Weather Stats thread here: https://forums.bcstorms.ca/viewtopic.ph ... 31#p932331
That sadly explains so much. Great, but sad graph,
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 21, 2022 2:01 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
Oh that heat 🔥 the last week of August looks close to dome like it looks terrible Theatdomish, not looking forward to that but perhaps the consolation is overnight cooling with the longer nights.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Typeing3
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20220822100500-7bcb04c55dd9665b0ded774e5f26dbb5f8bb48e7.png
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:07 am 20220822100500-7bcb04c55dd9665b0ded774e5f26dbb5f8bb48e7.png
Hard to say what I hate more about that model run: the highs pushing the mid-30’s, or the lows flirting with 20.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Aug 22, 2022 9:29 am Hard to say what I hate more about that model run: the highs pushing the mid-30’s, or the lows flirting with 20.
Very difficult to do in late August but our new climate shows us there is zero difficulty in achieving warmth.
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Typeing3
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
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Re: August 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Is it just me or is it cooler than forecasted so far . Currently 21° ,
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