September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[Typeing3]

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[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
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00z GEM ensembles:
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Hmmm...Weird Tstrange models look to warm up enough to continue modeling me legs.

[moonshadow0825]

some rain here in Ladner before sunrise, enough to wet the pavement. seems weird to be reporting rain but given this is the first rain of any significance since July, what the heck

[Catnip]

Just a feeling, but I think after this ridging is done with us (late Sept, early Oct), the rains are coming once we get into Oct. Until then, enjoy!




EPS Day 5-10

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10-15

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[stuffradio]

New seasonal outlooks released today

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[Catnip]

It's been a while since we've seen this:

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[stuffradio]

We're going to be losing the most amount of light we will lose starting Saturday. It's all up hill starting on Saturday! In the first week of October we will begin to lose less and less daylight until we start gaining light.

[Bonovox]

I walked in a light rain shower this morning. It was glorious. More please.

[Roberts Creeker]

I walked in a light rain shower this morning. It was glorious. More please.

Isn't it wonderful!

It's raining here now!!! Light showering but a good start!

[Catnip]

12Z Euro for next week.

Sunday

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Monday

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Tuesday

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Weds

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Thurs

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Fri

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[Typeing3]

It's been a while since we've seen this:

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Trend north, trend north!

[AbbyJr]

Edit: I accidentally said this was for next week but its actually for the week after. I've since edited the post. My apologies.

Another strong high pressure ridge looks to build over BC at the end of the month. Welcome back summer.

Monday, September 26th at 5:00 PM:

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[Typeing3]

On this day in 1937, Abbotsford recorded a high temp of 33.9c.

[Mattman]

I wonder if we're in record dryness territory for the meteorological summer in some areas. After the first taste of autumn Friday-Sunday, I'm happy with a return to summer. A redux of 2012 is fine. Even if there's an offshore component per the 12z Euro, it's too late for any forest fire activity. Living in Kelowna at the time, I remember the last night of fire activity from the Okanagan Mountain Park Fire was rank 5-6. I watched it crest over Myra Canyon after it took out the trestles. Wind ahead of a cold front flared it that night. After that front and only ~5mm of rain, within 36 hours of that aggressive fire activity, smoke wasn't even visible. That's all it took. I bet after this weekend smoke won't be an issue from Hope nor Manning.