October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Catnip wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 10:40 am 7/10 of the warmest occurred in the new millennium.

:shock:

:think:

Crazy, but unsurprising.

Hmm... it seems like two thirds of his posts are about the humidity at YVR, all based on obviously bad data. Surprised he's just accepting them at face value.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Seriously, it's already October? September sure flew by. October shaping up to be most interesting.. to boldly go where no October has gone before?
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 9:56 am Welcome to October! The CFS monthly for November is wet and temps have no signal for warmth or cold for SW BC.

CFSv2.NaT2m.20221001.202211.gif
CFSv2.NaPrec.20221001.202211.gif
Very wet though!

Colder than average to our north and warmer than average to our south usually translates to above average rainfall for us. Perhaps by late month or December those cold anomalies to our north gradually slide south, which ould be good news a possible arctic blast around these parts and above average precip further south in Oregon and California where they really need it.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
Image


:alert:
Image
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
Image


:alert:
Image
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

This model shows a full 180. The consenus in the models really breaks down after Thanksgiving.
prec2-10.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12z EPS

Days 5-10
5-10.png
Days 10-15
10-15.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (36).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (37).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (38).png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 11:59 am Seriously, it's already October? September sure flew by. October shaping up to be most interesting.. to boldly go where no October has gone before?
l'm sure to boldy go where the Knuckles will never go in October is suffice to say skipper.
This is on Yale rd in downtown Chilliwack and the heat goes on. :crazy:
IMG_20221001_155738.jpg
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20221001225043-f121d33ac0c50a3617dff8b49f4819301bd612c5.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

I hope everyone has their snow tires on since it's mandatory to drive on the interior highways. :lol:

So weird that's it's 27 degrees right now while I decorate for Thanksgiving/ Halloween.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Leighbugs wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 4:38 pm I hope everyone has their snow tires on since it's mandatory to drive on the interior highways. :lol:

So weird that's it's 27 degrees right now while I decorate for Thanksgiving/ Halloween.
:thumbup: looking forward to hanging Christmas lights in shorts this year. :crazy: it's a warm 25c @ the pond in south Sardis.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 6:15 pm :thumbup: looking forward to hanging Christmas lights in shorts this year. :crazy: it's a warm 25c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Christmas 1980 repeat!

High/low of 18.2c/10.0c on December 26, 1980. :o
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 01, 2022 8:11 pm Christmas 1980 repeat!

High/low of 18.2c/10.0c on December 26, 1980. :o
Yes but hard to believe the snow and cold the beginning of the month was insane but enjoyable.
I remember my girlfriend lived in Aldergrove and they had wicked outflow and at least 30cm of snow compared to half that in New Westminster.
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