October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Oct 09, 2022 7:43 pm I would love a drizzly/misty 5c day right about now.
You can do better Bones perhaps a blizzard at DQ.
Cooler but an absolutely stellar day 24c @ the pond in south Sardis was my high for today.
It's currently 16c and hazy conditions now.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Sun Oct 09, 2022 9:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Oct 09, 2022 8:05 pm You can do better Bones perhaps a blizzard at DQ.
I'll take the drizzle and mist over the DQ blizzard. :lol:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sun Oct 09, 2022 4:45 pm SWS for the Sunshine Coast too. Winds up to 60 km with cold front, high of only 17c tomorrow brrrrr.

I hope the power doesn't go out, I'm cooking a turkey. :shock:
Perhaps a little wind hot temps tomorrow and voila an air fried turkey Ms. Stuffingcreeks. :D
Happy Thanksgiving to all my forum friends. :thumbup:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

This could be a year without El Neets, no pineapples AR's or floods, just dry and mild all winter with some fog fests. :? It's currently 14c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Mon Oct 10, 2022 5:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Oct 09, 2022 8:41 pm I'll take the drizzle and mist over the DQ blizzard. :lol:
Sounds more like a Wendy's sloppy frosty Bones. :sick:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20221010113909-9638f78deb151fa07deebbac3522354912f705e1.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Oct 10, 2022 4:38 am
Just an freshner day today and then right back to the mid 20'sc in the central valley by weeks end :crazy: just enough time to wash my one pair of Value Village forever wear summer shorts. :wtf: :D :shock: its currently11c @ the pond in south Sardis.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by BhamMe »

Catnip wrote: Sun Oct 09, 2022 12:40 pm Hard to believe (or maybe not) that there could be another nice weekend coming up.

sat.png
sun.png

12Z Euro 10 day precip.

10day.png
Mid 20's at the border. Unbelievable for mid-Oct.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Happy Thanksgiving!!! Hope you all have a wonderful turkey day. :humming: (we might need a turkey smilie)

I'm thankful for this dry sunny Augtober weather, leaves :13leaf: so dry they're crunchy when you walk through them and tonight's loaded turkey dinner with beans and potatoes fresh from the garden.

Currently 16.2c with a SWS for 60 km/h wind this afternoon.
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Ensembles starting to look more normal but almost all the precip on this run is at the end of the period. A little light at the end of a long dark and DRY tunnel.
gfs-ens_apcpn_us_64.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Mon Oct 10, 2022 11:42 am Ensembles starting to look more normal but almost all the precip on this run is at the end of the period. A little light at the end of a long dark and DRY tunnel.
gfs-ens_apcpn_us_64.png
Yup, most of the members showing precip are well outside of the 10 day period unfortunately.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

What about the creeks in that area? Are they all dried up? Some creeks on the North shore are barely flowing, just a trickle. Worse than 2015.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

8-14 day looking better. "Near normal" precip for mid to late October should be a drought breaker.
814prcp.new-8.gif
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