October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 9:05 amyxxsnow.png
Terrain bleed. Toss it out.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12z GFS Rainfall totals for Thursdays event.
gfs rain.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 9:10 am Terrain bleed. Toss it out.
Nito....
art_img_35348.jpg
:thumbup: :thumbup: :mrgreen:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Pay no attention to how both the Euro and the GFS agree on the West being cold in the first half of November. The Judah model says otherwise!

https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1584901966664269825
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 10:56 am Pay no attention to how both the Euro and the GFS agree on the West being cold in the first half of November. The Judah model says otherwise!

Recall him constantly forecasting a cold November/December last year out east which didn't verify.

His forecast remained steadfast into January when most long range models pointed at cold continuing in the west which ultimately ended up being wrong and him being right. I'd say the models took more of a gamble forecasting a cold January for us since our last one was back in 1993. :lol:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I haven't been paying attention, but what? 00Z Euro.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 11:18 am Recall him constantly forecasting a cold November/December last year out east which didn't verify.

His forecast remained steadfast into January when most long range models pointed at cold continuing in the west which ultimately ended up being wrong and him being right. I'd say the models took more of a gamble forecasting a cold January for us since our last one was back in 1993. :lol:
Yes, it led to no shortage of joking about the “Judah model” here.

I have seen no evidence that his “advanced, machine learning” model is anything more than what he, Judah, as an East Coast weather weenie, personally wants.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

610temp.new.gif
610prcp.new.gif
814temp.new.gif
814prcp.new.gif
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

There are a few twitter weather enthusiasts making a big deal about the next 2 AR's. 50-80mm is not a concern over a 48 hour period. 120-150mm over the span of a week isn't bad either.

120-150mm over 2 days? Potentially dangerous but no models are showing anything to say "FLOOD."
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 9:10 am Terrain bleed. Toss it out.
It's all coming back to me now, terrain bleed, toss it out, low stays off shore, Judah Cohen says so. :sick: cold goes east models backing off, models drying out, cold air gets here when moisture departs.
I'm fine :crazy: really years of this hasn't affected me must be all those years of watching Knuckle hockey. :D It's currently 11c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 1:40 pm There are a few twitter weather enthusiasts making a big deal about the next 2 AR's. 50-80mm is not a concern over a 48 hour period. 120-150mm over the span of a week isn't bad either.

120-150mm over 2 days? Potentially dangerous but no models are showing anything to say "FLOOD."
Ah wonderful news El Nice'o l regret having to stay in Abbotsford like l did last November becsuse of work and l couldn't get back to the Whack. Especially staying at the mother inlaws was brutally painful. :think:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 1:56 pm Ah wonderful news El Nice'o l regret having to stay in Abbotsford like l did last November becsuse of work and l couldn't get back to the Whack. especially at mother inlaws. :think:
Did you not invest in a amphibious vehicle?
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Oct 25, 2022 11:33 am I haven't been paying attention, but what? 00Z Euro.
It got into Weeders101 stash Bones l'm assuming or it's hanging out with the drunkle uncle.
Senior GooFasS. :roll:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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