November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[PortKells]

It can feel like twitter overload from time to time. It is a great source of weather info, I'm probably just too ADHD to read them all.

[Typeing3]

Lots of tweets bro

Reccomend deleting the links when replying.

[Catnip]

Model riding begins 1 hour earlier starting on Sunday!!

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[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

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12z ECMWF ensembles:

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12z GEM ensembles:

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[Typeing3]

20221102212611-3eb319615c00d6d29b098e5ff30ce58fa757a29e.png

[Forrest Gump]

Gotta luv living in Vancouver, at least you don't have to shovel it...wait..what?

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/50shadesofvan/statu ... yP7OdbRzHQ

[Typeing3]

That early Nov 1911 event was a beast... mentioned it many times before. Cold with lots of snow.

Downtown Vancouver:

Screenshot 2022-11-02 152150.png

[Typeing3]

In response to Tyler's tweet, Abbotsford has recorded a daytime high below freezing prior to the first 10 days of November though.
October 31st, 1984: -1.2c/-7.5c
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2


Additionally, before records began at YXX, the closest station to Abbotsford (at the time) also recorded a daytime high below freezing prior to the first 10 days of November.
October 29th, 1935: -1.1c/-5.6c
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

[Storm]

Bullseye Snow storm.

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[Typeing3]

18z GFS
Day 4 to 9

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh96-216.gif

850mb temps

gfs_T850_nwus_fh96-216.gif

Surface temps

gfs_T2m_nwus_fh96-216.gif

[Storm]

Credit to our friends down south.

Screenshot_20221102_160618.jpg

[Catnip]

^^^^^^^^^

Ya, the mean at -10 now.

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(13).jpeg

[Typeing3]

18z GFS is chilly, dry with outflow from Monday through Thursday next week.

[Weather101]

Some slush possible but chilly and dry is mainly what this will turn out to be. But hey it's November so this is cool being able to track anything this early in terms of snow potential.