November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:06 am Weird. GFS still trending colder Monday..
… when it’s dry.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:06 am Weird. GFS still trending colder Monday..
Don't forget, models will often trend warmer in the 100-200 hour range before flipping back last minute.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:06 am Weird. GFS still trending colder Monday..
Not bad. Wednesday morning.
sfct.us_nw.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:14 am Don't forget, models will often trend warmer in the 100-200 hour range before flipping back last minute.
100%
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

As per usual (at least it seems that way) it may not be white, but at least we have the opportunity to achieve some decent overnight lows, for early November standards anyways.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:15 am100%
Nah. I like being overly dramatic.

Cold doesnt happen in the Pacific Northwest.
Climo wins.
Devistating trendz.
Winter cancelled. Going to be mild and rainy and then ridgy right through March! Pineapple time!
+20 Christmas?
Time to plant my veggies this weekend!
similkameen!!!!!
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:14 am Don't forget, models will often trend warmer in the 100-200 hour range before flipping back last minute.
You can actually see it pretty good here with the operational.
ens_image.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Thursday overrunning event looks better too.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:21 am You can actually see it pretty good here with the operational.
ens_image.png
That blue member needs to settle down.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

:alert: Thursday-Friday is pretty significant snow maker. Warm finger gutting squeeze pretty quickly.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

The upgraded GFS vs the current one for Tuesday AM.

:shrug:

Current
gfs.png
Upgraded
newgfs.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The NBM
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:17 am As per usual (at least it seems that way) it may not be white, but at least we have the opportunity to achieve some decent overnight lows, for early November standards anyways.
Dry cold = boring
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 9:28 am :alert: Thursday-Friday is pretty significant snow maker. Warm finger gutting squeeze pretty quickly.
Let's see if this trend keeps up.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monday AM Temp and Windchill
mon am temp.png
mon am WC.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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