November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Abby_wx
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Back to back freezes... -0.6C yesterday evening and -1.0C early this morning.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 10:28 am I am going with something big in Late November and then perhaps early to Mid January.


Hmm. Seems like this site is working for me again. So hopefully I can participate more. It was too annoying when it was logging me off every few minutes.
Welcome Back Monty!

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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Canadian Ensembles rebuild the ridge in Mid-Nov.

:think:

GEPS 312.png
GEPS 360.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Euro looks similar to the GFS for some hilltop slush.
euro snow.png
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 10:57 am Canadian Ensembles rebuild the ridge in Mid-Nov.

:think:


GEPS 312.png
GEPS 360.png
That’s a very Niña-esque broad North Pacific ridge. 😎
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Snowing above about 1000ft on central van isle
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:06 am Snowing above about 1000ft on central van isle
BC MOT permanently removed the Sutton Pass camera. What a shame.

I was informed many cameras in remote regions are very expensive to maintain though.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Sunday snowfall map as of 4pm.

Temps are very borderline.
sun 4pm.png
18z.png
00z.png
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2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:17 am BC MOT permanently removed the Sutton Pass camera. What a shame.

I was informed many cameras in remote regions are very expensive to maintain though.
Shoot, I was actually looking for that this morning and noticed it was gone.

:thumbdown:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

The extent of it.
mon 10pm.png
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:17 am Sunday snowfall map as of 4pm.

Temps are very borderline.

sun 4pm.png
18z.png
00z.png
“Borderline” is a tad generous. Snow near sea level when it’s +1 at the 925 mbar level? Yeah, right.

Edit: See there’s subfreezing 925’s over the Island. Monty special?
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:19 am The extent of it.

mon 10pm.png
Character signature of a developing arctic frontal boundary. Dry in the Valley with higher precip rates further SW.

You have the wind maps at this range?
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Mon am Comparison

Euro
Euro.png
GFS
gfs.png
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Euro is colder from the 00z. Teendz?
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:17 am BC MOT permanently removed the Sutton Pass camera. What a shame.

I was informed many cameras in remote regions are very expensive to maintain though.
The transmission tower got hit by lightning awhile back I believe
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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