November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Storm]

WeatherPro did it better.

Shhh. He will be here tonight.

[Monty]

Let's not forget Vlad either.

https://twitter.com/vlad_rad/status/158 ... yTQB5MH5DA

0% chance “arctic air” is as aggressive as the GFS is suggesting.

[Bonovox]

The Euro map is not bad.

Not when you look at the temps during the precip period.

[Bonovox]

We've got an old fashioned model war here between the GFS and Euro. My takeaway, go with a blend and lean towards climo. I think the GFS is too aggressive with CAA and perhaps the Euro is too pessimistic with dynamic cooling? I don't know. Stay tuned.

[Storm]

Not when you look at the temps during the precip period.

I would not put much stock in the Euro eather. I like the ICON is coming around, very conservative model when it comes to snow.

[Catnip]

I really think these twitter forecasters need to start putting a disclaimer on their posts.

Something along the lines of...

*These maps are for entertainment purposes only and don't reflect what will actually occur

I would think that there are some followers out there that would take these types of posts seriously.

[Weather101]

Bold call this early.

He's been right about the heatwave and windstorm. I see nothing wrong, He's like 17. Tyler Hamilton even gave him props. He's just warning people about the possibility, Only weather nerds like us will give him a hard time. Yet we are only like 0.0001 percent of the population the general people who follow him won't care if it doesn't happen if anything they will be happy lol.

[Bonovox]

I would not put much stock in the Euro eather. I like the ICON is coming around, very conservative model when it comes to snow.

I mean, yeah maybe. I hope you're right. But, even during the last 31 days, the Euro is kicking every other models butt.

Of course, finer mesoscale details are a whole new ballgame, so here's hoping.

[Catnip]

We've got an old fashioned model war here between the GFS and Euro. My takeaway, go with a blend and lean towards climo. I think the GFS is too aggressive with CAA and perhaps the Euro is too pessimistic with dynamic cooling? I don't know. Stay tuned.

We now have the NAM and Mesoscale Models to ride also.

[Bonovox]

We now have the NAM and Mesoscale Models to ride also.

[wetcoast91]

He's been right about the heatwave and windstorm. I see nothing wrong, He's like 17. Tyler Hamilton even gave him props. He's just warning people about the possibility, Only weather nerds like us will give him a hard time. Yet we are only like 0.0001 percent of the population the general people who follow him won't care if it doesn't happen if anything they will be happy lol.

[Catnip]

#bcstorm

RGEM

RGEM.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Generally, when the ECMWF and the GFS disagree, the ECMWF ends up being closer to reality.

[Storm]

Responsible Tweet
https://twitter.com/ElijahBman/status/1 ... 65120?s=19

[Cloverdale]

Head for the mountains if you want snow this weekend