November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Hey , look what I found! ....when did it snow on Burnaby mountain?
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Were they filming a movie up there recently?

[Forrest Gump]

Were they filming a movie up there recently?

No idea , found it at the park near horizons restaurant , maybe Stormsy knows.

[Catnip]

#dry

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[Catnip]

#boring

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[Roberts Creeker]

#dry

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Has anyone told EC? Sechelt forecast, seems to have a lot of rain in it.

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[Coquitlam79]

Looking back maybe this isn't exactly unprecedented. Rare yes.
November 1985 saw an Arctic high cause a 2 week dry cold spell to end the month and even continued into early December!
November 2000 almost had a 2 week dry spell and only saw a few mm of rain until Nov 23 when more substantial rains returned. The entire winter of 2000-2001 was dominated by split flow, big ridges and extended dry spells especially first part of December 2000, and most of January and February 2001.
In 2002 October was bone dry with only 20mm of rain in North Vancouver gauge for the entire month and what's even more amazing is that from October 3 to Nov 5, 2002 north Vancouver only saw 7.6mm of rain! Now thats a drought. it was followed by 17 straight days of rain followed by another 2 week dry, big ridge pattern that lasted until mid December 2002.
Nov 2014 we had a 10 day dry spell. I remember that one it was sunny and beautiful not much fog if I remember correctly.

[wetcoast91]

No doubt that the atmosphere is in a +ENSO state right now. Hoping for a stormy active pattern soon to clear the lower atmospheric gunk...Smog about to get real bad by the weekend.

Mountains are super dry right now too. Lots of dead underwear on Grouse.

[Forrest Gump]

No doubt that the atmosphere is in a +ENSO state right now. Hoping for a stormy active pattern soon to clear the lower atmospheric gunk...Smog about to get real bad by the weekend.

Mountains are super dry right now too. Lots of dead underwear on Grouse.

Fruit of the Loom is no match for liquidy flatulence disorder.

[Hawk]

Very sad to see this persistent ridging after such a promising start to autumn with #tat. Pattern has 180'd and ski mountains will suffer. Drought is correct. Ground is usually saturated for weeks by now. Similkameen needs a deep snow pack this winter. Very bad start

[Catnip]

Very sad to see this persistent ridging after such a promising start to autumn with #tat. Pattern has 180'd and ski mountains will suffer. Drought is correct. Ground is usually saturated for weeks by now. Similkameen needs a deep snow pack this winter. Very bad start

Yup, not looking too good for November Buttie! Hopefully things switch around come #december.

[Catnip]

No doubt that the atmosphere is in a +ENSO state right now. Hoping for a stormy active pattern soon to clear the lower atmospheric gunk...Smog about to get real bad by the weekend.

Mountains are super dry right now too. Lots of dead underwear on Grouse.

Sardine gets kinda hot doing the grind so he strips off his layers to keep cool.

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/news1130weather/sta ... 48865?s=21

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/weathernetwork/stat ... 86245?s=21

[Coquitlam79]

https://twitter.com/weathernetwork/stat ... 86245?s=21

Yes those typhoons, when their remnants move into the westerlies in the region around either the Aleutians or Bering Sea as a deep low this buckles the jet stream and pumps up a ridge usually over the West coast and cold in the East. Good info there. This pattern is more "stuck " than usual right now also because of lack of sea ice and a warm Arctic also weakens the jet stream also causing the dips and rises in the jet stream pattern. Amplified pattern as opposed to zonal flow.

[Coquitlam79]

I'm going to have to disagree with Mr Lacate. This IS a drought as this record breaking dry spell is occuring now at what is supposed to be our wettest time of year. Not as bad as Oct/Early Nov 2002 though (reservoir levels were down under 20% at that time) and the 2000-2001 winter season as a a whole, experienced drought like conditions. Ive noticed now that the creeks and streams are back down to levels seen in the summer. Someone mentioned dry underbrush. Plus the situation is made worse by the medium range outlook which is downright droughty.
Inflows to Capilano Lake are down to what one would expect to see in midsummer. Yikes.

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