November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Doubt it, higher sun angles.

Feb nocturnal sticking snow works for me working night shift.

[PortKells]

There is always a rug pull. It's just the end result differs each time. Sometimes the models revert back to their initial solutions and other times they permanently collapse. What we are seeing right now is the typical flip flopping run to run. No need to be concerned yet.

There is still a very good chance of a significant arctic blast and at least one region wide snowfall.

Think about it this way: the end result is already set in stone. We are just trying to figure out what that is through some impressive and yet imperfect human technology. Which seems somewhat pointless when you circle back to the fact that nature will do what it wants no matter what the models say. It's purely for entertainment purposes and frankly leads to way more let downs than not.

But it's fun so we do it anyways. It's like being a fan of say, a certain local hockey team. The key is to enjoy the wins and shrug off the losses. The way people down south act it's like they've never seen this before. That's what confuses me about it.

Don't get me wrong, the flip flopping is maddening. I'm glad in times like these I'm not a local meteorologist.

[wetcoast91]

The AF meltdown every year is enjoyable

"Rubus Leucodermis
Posted 2 minutes ago
6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:
I am not worried about their sensitivities, my ways are selfish when it comes to the winter goods.

Hate to break it to you, but you're getting cold rain with this one."

I would also add the following: "At least the extended run is showing a nice ridge before we do a seamless transtion to rain."

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Think about it this way: the end result is already set in stone. We are just trying to figure out what that is through some impressive and yet imperfect human technology. Which seems somewhat pointless when you circle back to the fact that nature will do what it wants no matter what the models say. It's purely for entertainment purposes and frankly leads to way more let downs than not.

But it's fun so we do it anyways. It's like being a fan of say, a certain local hockey team. The key is to enjoy the wins and shrug off the losses. The way people down south act it's like they've never seen this before. That's what confuses me about it.

Don't get me wrong, the flip flopping is maddening. I'm glad in times like these I'm not a local meteorologist.

Yes l totally agree Kells referencing the local hockey team fits perfect but it's several day's in winter with the collapse at least we don't endure that garbage for day's on end with the models.

[Weather101]

Think about it this way: the end result is already set in stone. We are just trying to figure out what that is through some impressive and yet imperfect human technology. Which seems somewhat pointless when you circle back to the fact that nature will do what it wants no matter what the models say. It's purely for entertainment purposes and frankly leads to way more let downs than not.

But it's fun so we do it anyways. It's like being a fan of say, a certain local hockey team. The key is to enjoy the wins and shrug off the losses. The way people down south act it's like they've never seen this before. That's what confuses me about it.

Don't get me wrong, the flip flopping is maddening. I'm glad in times like these I'm not a local meteorologist.

That's what's crazy to me.. They have seen this 1000 times over and still act like they never seen this before. It's like they set themselves up for disaster every winter.

[Weather101]

"Rubus Leucodermis
Posted 2 minutes ago
6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:
I am not worried about their sensitivities, my ways are selfish when it comes to the winter goods.

Hate to break it to you, but you're getting cold rain with this one."

I would also add the following: "At least the extended run is showing a nice ridge before we do a seamless transtion to rain."

I'm going to see if I can create a new email and account. They banned my other two.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I'm going to see if I can create a new email and account. They banned my other two.

Ruin there Thanksgiving weekend even more tis the season Clark Griswald.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

The AF forum tonight the last hold out probably @ Rob.

HePb.gif

[stuffradio]

Why is everyone talking about a rug pull?

9D4E2DF0-6CA4-472B-A444-6F2407F1DD75.png

8D44EF31-6454-4654-9C77-BE724593B595.png

7B654538-7EFA-4DDA-8A59-FFE8B1541475.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

The AF meltdown every year is enjoyable

I wonder if I can get Fred to ban me again.

[Bonovox]

Why is everyone talking about a rug pull?

9D4E2DF0-6CA4-472B-A444-6F2407F1DD75.png
8D44EF31-6454-4654-9C77-BE724593B595.png
7B654538-7EFA-4DDA-8A59-FFE8B1541475.png

I don't think those are updated yet. It's looking more like this....

[stuffradio]

I don't think those are updated yet. It's looking more like this....

They are from 00Z GFS

[Bonovox]

They are from 00Z GFS

Yeah, but the temps don't correlate properly. The meteogram I posted previously is the raw output for temps. You can look at the actual frames on the Op and see it too.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Why is everyone talking about a rug pull?

9D4E2DF0-6CA4-472B-A444-6F2407F1DD75.png
8D44EF31-6454-4654-9C77-BE724593B595.png
7B654538-7EFA-4DDA-8A59-FFE8B1541475.png

It's over Ole Stuffers just waiting for the mortician, a.k.a. El Neeters.

[Catnip]

Are we shutting down the ride Bono?

98CD83EE-DBBE-443B-BE63-775863789DBE.jpeg