January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Weather101
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

https://twitter.com/deltapolice/status/ ... YITcA&s=19
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Been looking at the models a bit and it seems as it temperatures and dew points will support snow to sea level for at least part of the night.

As an example:
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-5252800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-5252800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-5252800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-5252800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

NAM 3km for 01:00 tomorrow morning:
nam-nest-vancouverski-refc_ptype-5242000.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-t2m_c-5242000.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-dew2m_c-5242000.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-t925-5242000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Weather101
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Jan 31, 2023 12:27 pm Been looking at the models a bit and it seems as it temperatures and dew points will support snow to sea level for at least part of the night.

As an example:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-5252800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-5252800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-5252800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-5252800.png
It will be close. Probably rain tho for Richmond.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

@VanCitySouth might enjoy this:
Screenshot 2023-01-31 at 13.20.18.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

About 3cm in east Coquitlam (as of 8am). Don't think any more has accumulated since then.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Jan 31, 2023 1:23 pm @VanCitySouth might enjoy this:

Screenshot 2023-01-31 at 13.20.18.png
:lol: :lol: southern pain is northern gain
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Jan 31, 2023 1:33 pm :lol: :lol: southern pain is northern gain
This one was especially cruel. Leading into this event, models had the Willamette Valley scoring and scoring big. Then they took the snow away. Then late in the game they give a little bit of snow back… to northern areas.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Are we expecting tonight to be a more elevation based event then?
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Jan 31, 2023 1:48 pm Are we expecting tonight to be a more elevation based event then?
Quite likely. The question is how much so. Is it strictly a Pornoman special, or does just about everyplace but the beaches and Pitt Meadows get more white stuff? Time will soon tell.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Jan 31, 2023 1:42 pm This one was especially cruel. Leading into this event, models had the Willamette Valley scoring and scoring big. Then they took the snow away. Then late in the game they give a little bit of snow back… to northern areas.
A truly poetic sequence of events.
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Jan 31, 2023 2:40 pm A truly poetic sequence of events.
You have to love it :hearteyes:
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 31, 2023 2:46 pm You have to love it :hearteyes:
Just thinking of Rob's unhappiness fills me with joy. Is it Christmas again?
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: :alert:
"Dry" flakes falling at sea level at 3:05 pm in Poco
I thought it would be straight rain by now :think:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Check out the Tri-Cities cell. It is mushrooming up!! :clap: :clap:
https://weather.gc.ca/map_e.html?layers ... 2.66327356
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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