February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Buy BC lettuces seeds and git planting for farm fresh greens, instead of USA "sprayed" produce :thumbdown: :thumbdown:

Edit:
Its lettuce season. Its all over..no snow incoming until maybe March, just like Nito told us, but tell us again Nito!
Even then, i'll take my chances that the lettuces will survive!
Last edited by Hawk on Thu Feb 05, 2026 3:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Abby_wx
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 2:23 pm Flowers are opening today.

IMG_2978_scaled.jpg
IMG_2980_scaled.jpg
Notice same ones yesterday in my lawn.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Max temps this afternoon. :dancepine:

Abbotsford 16.4°C
Agassiz 16.1°C
Burns Bog 10.9°C
Hope 12.8°C
Langley 14.7°C
MBY 13.6˚C
Pitt Meadows 14.5°C
Squamish 15.1°C
Vancouver Harbour 12.3°C
Vancouver YVR 7.6°C
West Vancouver 13.8°C
White Rock MSNG°C
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Thu Feb 05, 2026 4:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Think flies, tree buds, flowers, t-shirts and shorts as temps surge into the high teens, just like Nito said they would :shock: :shock:
:clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

High of 16.6C here.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (30).png
12z ECWMF ensembles:
ens_image (31).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (32).png



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20260206010712-98ef71ba37377a5e8c735d72d3e7edc758722bb0.png
20260206010702-25cde3445062f3e280d74e46fc005d806aa3fa5a.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 4:10 pm White Rock MSNG°C
14.7°C White Rock
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 3:03 pm Notice same ones yesterday in my lawn.
Got a rose bush with blooms ready saw a huge bumble bee and a stink bug. :sick: it's on. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 6:34 pm Got a rose bush with blooms ready saw a huge bumble bee and a stink bug. :sick: it's on. :thumbup:
Stink bugs are a menace! :silent:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 6:48 pm Stink bugs are a menace! :silent:
Indeed Tman it appears they've been around all winter. :x
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Abby_wx wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 4:42 pm High of 16.6C here.
The high was12.0c @ the lake in Harrison Hot Springs today due to the breeze off the lake. :wtf:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

From Vancouver is awesome :lol: hey Neetzzz you didn't say this. :wtf:
Screenshot_20260205-211422.Chrome.png
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Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:think: :roll: :lol:

ecmwf-aifs-all-namer-z500_anom-1567200.png
ecmwf-aifs-all-namer-z500_anom-1632000.png
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 9:44 pm :think: :roll: :lol:


ecmwf-aifs-all-namer-z500_anom-1567200.png

ecmwf-aifs-all-namer-z500_anom-1632000.png
Just can't buy that perfect 500 mb pattern this year. Everything else is on the table, but not that.
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Re: February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Thu Feb 05, 2026 10:15 pm Just can't buy that perfect 500 mb pattern this year. Everything else is on the table, but not that.
And what's shown on the map I posted is not even the ideal 500mb pattern. As modelled, the polar low comes down over the water from the NW. Would generate a cold onshore flow and perhaps some strong outflow gusts in the valley. But it wouldn't be a classic arctic airmass. For that, we would want the polar lobe to come in from the NE and dump arctic into SWBC/PNW and then come out over the water. That would result in a surface low, which would bring an outflow wind event and or snowfall depending on the exact track. While we can get low elevation snow with a cold onshore flow, that is increasingly rare these days, especially so late in the season. I'm still hopeful we can score some late season snow but I doubt it.
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