February 2026 Forecasts and Discussions

[stuffradio]

It was warm and beautiful today.

[PortKells]

And what's shown on the map I posted is not even the ideal 500mb pattern. As modelled, the polar low comes down over the water from the NW. Would generate a cold onshore flow and perhaps some strong outflow gusts in the valley. But it wouldn't be a classic arctic airmass. For that, we would want the polar lobe to come in from the NE and dump arctic into SWBC/PNW and then come out over the water. That would result in a surface low, which would bring an outflow wind event and or snowfall depending on the exact track. While we can get low elevation snow with a cold onshore flow, that is increasingly rare these days, especially so late in the season. I'm still hopeful we can score some late season snow but I doubt it.

Maybe something brewing here for #ENDOFFEB

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1653600.png

gfs-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-1675200.png

ecmwf-aifs-all-namer-t850_anom-1653600.png

[Hawk]

Maybe some Slushfestivals brewing here for #ENDOFFEB

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1653600.pnggfs-deterministic-namer-t850_anom_stream-1675200.pngecmwf-aifs-all-namer-t850_anom-1653600.png

Fixed it

[Hawk]

06z gfs says check out ~Feb 21

[Typeing3]

06z gfs says check out ~Feb 21

Only 15 days away!

[Typeing3]

The Grouse Grind is OPEN!

#TheYearWithoutWinter

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

More stations reporting a freeze this morning.

Abbotsford 0.8°C
Agassiz 5.8°C
Burns Bog -1.0°C
Hope 2.9°C
Langley -1.4°C
MBY 1.1˚C
Pitt Meadows -0.3°C
Squamish 0.7°C
Vancouver Harbour 7.1°C
Vancouver YVR 0.4°C
West Vancouver 6.6°C
White Rock 2.2°C

[Weather101]

Fun fact... Toronto did not record a temp above freezing for the ENTIRETY for Feb 2015!

ridiculous

[Hawk]

currently 7c at 1700m > Pennask Summit

[Hawk]

wow so many more victories lately..amazing Wetcoast winter this year

The Valley > busting +16c b2b days - i had a dream i got sunburned
Langley > dropping into the negative digits last few mornings
western metro > some of the warmest temps during the start of this ridging
Coquihalla > bare roads > but watch out for large pebbles cracking your windshield unfortuantely
GFS > snow is always 15 days away!! and also
Local roads - saved eeeeeuge money on snow removal, prolly millions, but still sent the crews out anyways any chance they could to justify spending half of that budget money on bare roads > think of all the money we will get back soon!!

[Hawk]

Annnnd just like that, the 12z gfs says no to the snow on Feb 21
I'm sure gfs will slide snow back in there in the next few runs though

[tyweather]

2m temperature outlook for Feb 16-23 EMWCF

[wetcoast91]

2m temperature outlook for Feb 16-23 EMWCF

Looks like 500m snow levels. A repeat of late Dec with troughing either splitting or staying far enough offshore to limit depth of cold air making it to the coast.

Also not much Mountain snow in the models.

[Weather101]

[Typeing3]

3.8cm of snow on April 10th, 1983 @ YVR.