February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

yenno I wonder if the models are doing away with the cold air a bit too quickly on Saturday. As far as I can tell 850s and 925s remain below freezing for most if not all the day and surface flow remains easterly.

I'm not convinced that it'll be +4 and raining, at least not at the start...
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

In the meantime, the idea of temps in low teens is gaining traction...?
2025021212_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Big storm in Toronto tonight!
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 11:45 am yenno I wonder if the models are doing away with the cold air a bit too quickly on Saturday. As far as I can tell 850s and 925s remain below freezing for most if not all the day and surface flow remains easterly.

I'm not convinced that it'll be +4 and raining, at least not at the start...
Models usually push cold air away too quickly.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:14clown: :dancepine: :dance:
ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-t2m_f_max6-0528000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

We better get at least a bit of an overrunning event this weekend. If not that will be a typical screwjob for us. After this though let's move onto warmer days.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:28 pm :14clown: :dancepine: :dance:

ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-t2m_f_max6-0528000.png
Stop stealing my bit you Neetz wannabe. :evil:
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 9:38 am Whonnock Lake in Maple Ridge yesterday!
pondhockey5.jpg

Source: https://www.mapleridgenews.com/local-ne ... ge-7816984
I skated on that lake(it was frozen all across) 3 or 4 times within like 3 years wayyyy back lol :shh:
:wave: :wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:14 pm Stop stealing my bit you Neetz wannabe. :evil:
hahahaha
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:28 pm :14clown: :dancepine: :dance:

ecmwf-deterministic-or_wa-t2m_f_max6-0528000.png
I would love this.
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Hound wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:39 pm We better get at least a bit of an overrunning event this weekend. If not that will be a typical screwjob for us. After this though let's move onto warmer days.
Possible scenarios:
1) Starts as flurries..then snow > Total 2-4cms before it turns to rain
2) Starts as snow > Turns to rain within a few hours > Total 0.5-1cm of sloppy goo
3) Starts as snow > then turns to rain quickly > >Turns everything into a clear glaze > 1-2mm of sloppy slush
4) Starts as snow > Total 5-8cms before it turns to rain
5) Banana Belts >0cms as usual

Id like #6, but we'll prolly get #2
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 11:45 am yenno I wonder if the models are doing away with the cold air a bit too quickly on Saturday. As far as I can tell 850s and 925s remain below freezing for most if not all the day and surface flow remains easterly.

I'm not convinced that it'll be +4 and raining, at least not at the start...
Neetzzz has done away with the cold already he's saying bone dry for 14 days. :think: :lol:
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Wed Feb 12, 2025 2:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

#6) Complete unprecedented model failure in our favour > Classic override > Heavy snow > Total 25-35cms before it ends in wet flurries and another chilly and sunny run of a few days
8-)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 1:35 pm I would love this.
It's been awhile since 15c plus in February were so use to winter 🥶 ❄️ in Feb. Actually it wouldn't feel to bad for a change. It's currently 2.8c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Weather101 wrote: Wed Feb 12, 2025 12:16 pm Big storm in Toronto tonight!
I've been following it Weeds to get my snow ❄️ fix awesome totals predicted and the cold isn't going away after. :14snowman: :totalfreeze:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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