July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20220720101252-c480cfdf4a978563b2ad11758f55d1cb8d72788d.png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Geez some of those graphs are scary. Some have S Puget S going into the low 40's :shock:
Looking like the low 30's followed by the mid 30's in the Similkameens for the next 7. The interior is going to dry out in a hurry..take care of those mosquitos i hope
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

It will be interesting to see if we reach over 38C again west of Hope. Last year was the first time on record here, so two years in a row would be alarming. :alert:

I can handle 35C-38C, but only as long as the humidity isn't too bad. We reached over 37C in July 2007, but it was very dry, so the heat was quite bearable.

July 2009, on the other hand, was in the same temperature range (peaking at 38.0C), but had very high humidity, so it was pretty unpleasant.

Either way, I don't care to experience over 40C again. :sick:

It was 27.6C here yesterday. It felt a bit warm in the sun while working on my car.

I'm glad we picked up a bit of rain over the weekend. I added about 9 mm from Fri-Mon for a total of 16.2 mm for the month so far. Every bit helps, but that might be it for this month.
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Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Jul 20, 2022 9:27 am It will be interesting to see if we reach over 38C again west of Hope. Last year was the first time on record here, so two years in a row would be alarming. :alert:

I can handle 35C-38C, but only as long as the humidity isn't too bad. We reached over 37C in July 2007, but it was very dry, so the heat was quite bearable.

July 2009, on the other hand, was in the same temperature range (peaking at 38.0C), but had very high humidity, so it was pretty unpleasant.

By west coast standards the July 2006 heatwave was relatively humid too. Temps peaked at 37.1c at YXX. With the dewpoint approaching 20c, the humidex topped out at 44c.

The August 1981 heatwave was relatively humid as well, with temps peaking at 36.2c at YXX but with the dewpoint topping 21c, the humidex peaked at 43c.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (45).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (46).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (47).png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Once again, basically no precip at least over the next 15-16 days on the recent ensembles

12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png
12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Of course it’s going to be hot next week. That’s when I return from spending nearly 4 weeks in the New Mexico desert (family matters, normally would NOT choose to visit this time of year), where it reliably gets broiling hot each and every afternoon.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jul 19, 2022 7:23 pm Hoping to see the Lower Mainland push past 100F! 8-)

I'll be traveling to Kamloops on Tuesday followed by Golden the day after... hopefully the long hot/dry stretch verifies. :clap:
Great! just when l head back to work next Monday. :? Glad everyone is getting away this summer if you want to call it that it's good for the psyche IMO.
Check out the Rotary park water front walk in Campbell River Gumps.
And we've returned to the pond in south Sardis. :D :thumbup:
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Family photo from the island l'm the good looking one. :wtf: :o
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jul 20, 2022 8:17 pm Of course it’s going to be hot next week. That’s when I return from spending nearly 4 weeks in the New Mexico desert (family matters, normally would NOT choose to visit this time of year), where it reliably gets broiling hot each and every afternoon.
Like what kind of temps are we talking? In C please. What elevation? Does it cool down substantially at night? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert:
Last night was quite warm..warmer than forecasted by EC :thumbdown:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Some lovely clouds this morning covering the sun up and keeping it cool. Yes!!!
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