March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Mar 27, 2021 5:36 pm Wouldn't wind prevent a freeze?
You would figure but there calling for lows of 0c for most areas on Monday morning.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

505 guests the last 24 hours :shock: :lol: is that correct. Hope they were all social distancing and wearing masks.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

I guess there may be no snow PornoMan. Looks like precip shuts off as the cold air arrives, as usual. Although GFS says some snow is possible :think: :think:
What does President Nito say? Cold rain? :x
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monday looks quite troffy again, with lots of instability. Maybe wake up to a wet snow shower in the hills? Or T-storms in the pm? :think:
What you think Nito? :wave:
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

5c and raining today.

Been a pleasant month for March really. But pretty chilly especially on the lows. I think I’ve had something like 15 freezes.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Both ECMWF and GFS still say flakes for many in the lowlands from the current system. At this point I’m expecting it to happen. I’m also expecting little to no accumulations for most. Pornoman may get lucky and see 5–10 cm.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sun Mar 28, 2021 6:24 am You would figure but there calling for lows of 0c for most areas on Monday morning.
Last October I had a night where it never quieted down, wind all night, and it still froze. If it can happen that early in the season, I’d say it can happen this late in the season.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Mar 28, 2021 10:06 am Last October I had a night where it never quieted down, wind all night, and it still froze. If it can happen that early in the season, I’d say it can happen this late in the season.
I’d bet the October freeze was with offshore flow. Not onshore. Either way it won’t take much to freeze if the winds die for an hour or 2 before sunrise
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: Sun Mar 28, 2021 10:35 am I’d bet the October freeze was with offshore flow. Not onshore. Either way it won’t take much to freeze if the winds die for an hour or 2 before sunrise
Yes, if it’s onshore winds that are being forecast, I would not expect a freeze. I just assumed offshore because a freeze was being forecast.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

It's snowing in Port McNeill right now and raining on Cypress
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

tyweather wrote: Sun Mar 28, 2021 10:46 am It's snowing in Port McNeill right now and raining on Cypress
Checked the Port McNeill highway cams and it looks more like rain to me.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

What timeframe do the models suggest possible snow?
Still am skeptical this go-around. It will clear before temps get cold enough.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Pomoman wrote: Sun Mar 28, 2021 10:57 am What timeframe do the models suggest possible snow?
Still am skeptical this go-around. It will clear before temps get cold enough.
GFS says your best chance is this afternoon:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_3hr_10to1-6954400.png
And mine is later tonight:
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_3hr_10to1-6997600.png
Alas for you, Euro seems to be in “screw Canada” mode again:
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_3hr_10to1-6979600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Some really nice gusts out there! Coming in from the South.
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Re: March 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

A lot of power outages in Langley especially in the North. Narrow corridor of strong southerlies.
2021-03-28_123812.jpg
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