June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[AbbyJr]

Its nice to see the GFS is no longer showing 46C for Abbotsford on Monday.

That said, I'd go with the Euro over the GFS so we'll see what it shows tonight. For what its worth, the 12Z had 42C on Monday.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Its nice to see the GFS is no longer showing 46C for Abbotsford on Monday.

That said, I'd go with the Euro over the GFS so we'll see what it shows tonight. For what its worth, the 12Z had 42C on Monday.

Darn Vegas heat baby.

[AbbyJr]

Looks like the 00Z GEM is coming in significantly hotter for Monday then the 12Z. Typical model chaos for our region.

00Z:

gem-all-vancouverski-t2m_c-4924800.png

12Z:

gem-all-vancouverski-t2m_c-4924800 (1).png

[PortKells]

Looks like the 00Z GEM is coming in significantly hotter for Monday then the 12Z. Typical model chaos for our region.

00Z:
gem-all-vancouverski-t2m_c-4924800.png


12Z:
gem-all-vancouverski-t2m_c-4924800 (1).png

If its not 46C and up i'm not interested. I want that world record baby!

[PortKells]

Its nice to see the GFS is no longer showing 46C for Abbotsford on Monday.

That said, I'd go with the Euro over the GFS so we'll see what it shows tonight. For what its worth, the 12Z had 42C on Monday.

My soccer team still hasn't cancelled practice Sunday night. Fake masculinity. "We'll deal with the heat boys!". It'll obviously get cancelled eventually, maybe after a municipality or two declares a state of emergency. I'm exaggerating obviously, although I'm curious what the threshold for heat would be to declare one.

[Typeing3]

Some nice trends so far.

GFS and ICON cooler but the GEM has gotten significantly warmer.

[Typeing3]

850mb temps above 22c from Friday evening thru Tuesday morning once again on the 00z GFS ensembles. Mean peaks at 27c late Sunday/early Monday.

[Hound]

It will all fall apart at the last minute, just like our "Arctic" blasts.

I hope so! One thing I hate worse than a failed snow forecast is a verified heat wave!
25c for me all the way!
Hell no to 30c and above.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I hope so! One thing I hate worse than a failed snow forecast is a verified heat wave!
25c for me all the way!
Hell no to 30c and above.

The Hounder has spoken.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

If its not 46C and up i'm not interested. I want that world record baby!

Isn't the Canadian record for hottest recorded temp. Yellow Grass Sask.?

[Bonovox]

Unfortunately the 00Z Euro is sticking to its guns.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

I hope so! One thing I hate worse than a failed snow forecast is a verified heat wave!
25c for me all the way!
Hell no to 30c and above.

Murphy’s Law of Busts states that busted cold forecasts are far more likely than busted heat forecasts.

[AbbyJr]

Here are tonights model runs. Not much improvement for those who don't want a memorable heat wave. In fact, the GEM went way hotter.

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4406400.png

gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4406400.png

gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4406400.png

nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4424400.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Here are tonights model runs. Not much improvement for those who don't want a memorable heat wave. In fact, the GEM went way hotter.

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4406400.png

gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4406400.png

gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4406400.png

nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4424400.png

That's just insane wow!

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Murphy’s Law of Busts states that busted cold forecasts are far more likely than busted heat forecasts.

Agreed good point.