November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Nordelian
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Based on teleconnections, 2009-10 continues to be the best analog for this winter
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Weather101
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Hawk wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 5:48 am Very rainy in Langley overnight and still coming down quite heavy :o
Crazy right? Heavy rain in November :shock:
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 8:06 am Crazy right? Heavy rain in November :shock:
:lol: Must be from the Shizmilkameenzz never rains there like this.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Nordelian wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 7:46 am Based on teleconnections, 2009-10 continues to be the best analog for this winter
Oh man Nords the Olympic winter that was absolutely horrible ski hills as well.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Going to be awhile before we see any Mountain snows or any meaningful cold build up in the arctic. Don't see it for the next 2-3 weeks.

Coast to Coast torch! :dancepine:

Image
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stuffradio
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:10 am Going to be awhile before we see any Mountain snows or any meaningful cold build up in the arctic. Don't see it for the next 2-3 weeks.

Coast to Coast torch! :dancepine:

Image
A lot can change in 384 hours :)
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:26 am A lot can change in 384 hours :)
It's not a bad outlook in terms of comfort. Mild with wet and dry periods. Could do worse this time of year! :thumbup:
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stuffradio
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:41 am It's not a bad outlook in terms of comfort. Mild with wet and dry periods. Could do worse this time of year! :thumbup:
We all want cold rain instead :)
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Hawk
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 6:30 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png




-----------------------------------
20231102132956-af56991aa003bf250c3e7575b3b370a27cb119c3.png
20231102132932-2f080676ca7cf4c1ac44c9c7c8fdf60d4fe8713c.png
Euro looks seasonal from Nov 9-17. Seasonal is quite chilly for mid November actually :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: Sudden Stratospheric Warming event in early December? :alert:

https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/17 ... 42046?s=20
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Catnip
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 11:10 am Going to be awhile before we see any Mountain snows or any meaningful cold build up in the arctic. Don't see it for the next 2-3 weeks.

Coast to Coast torch! :dancepine:

Ya... the EPS/weeklies have a pretty torchy look to them as well.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Tell em Neetz.
1.png
2.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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stuffradio
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The 12Z EPSGram has some whiskers that want to tell El Nito he's wrong about the torch!
2023110212_054@007_E1_yxx_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
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VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

16 at the airport. Getting close to Nito's legendary +18!
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Thu Nov 02, 2023 3:47 pm 16 at the airport. Getting close to Nito's legendary +18!
:blowtor: :blowtor: :blowtor:
4FFC02F1-9F01-49E0-A58B-A3C82142C87A.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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