September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

12zGFS

#DRY!!!

Showing basically no precip from now until the end of the month.

12zgfs.png

Amazing!

Of course this will most likely change, but the 12z GFS says that the West isn't done with the warm weather quite yet. This is the beginning of Oct.

#tellemNito

warm anom.png

warm oct.png

Hopefully this persists until at least mid October!

[stuffradio]

Amazing!



Hopefully this persists until at least mid October!

#TeamColdNovember right?

[Abby_wx]

You must have had east winds overnight or something? Got down to 9°C at my place in the city.

Yeah, there was some outflow until around noon today.

[Forrest Gump]

Fairly chilly this morning but it sure cooled off in Courtney this morning!

Fake news

[Forrest Gump]

Wow! My low was 16.3C, that's quite a contrast.

Got up to 28.6C, just a touch warmer than yesterday, but not much outflow today.

Something fishy going on out there . Comox 5° and Courtney 0? Weather Stations probably not that far apart. Actually EC's official Comox weather station shows a low of 8° and unfortunately uses Comox WS for Courtenay as well.

I had a low of 13.5° but the white rock station recorded 9°. I realize that's in line with most but not sure if I buy it after what I discovered yesterday. The truth is out there somewhere.

[Typeing3]

#TeamColdNovember right?

If we continue following the 1896 analogue (i.e dry mid summer to early fall), then yes for sure.

November 1896
New Westminster: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... estminster
Steveston: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Langley: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... rovince=BC
Agassiz: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... rovince=BC
Chilliwack: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... rovince=BC

[Forrest Gump]

I wonder if Antares is getting a wee bit nervous..

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I wonder if Antares is getting a wee bit nervous..

No he's fine skipper.

nervous-spongebob.gif

It's an outstanding evening here at the pond in south Sardis 13c and clear reached an awesome high of 28c on the most accurate thermometer in the central valley.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Something fishy going on out there . Comox 5° and Courtney 0? Weather Stations probably not that far apart. Actually EC's official Comox weather station shows a low of 8° and unfortunately uses Comox WS for Courtenay as well.

I had a low of 13.5° but the white rock station recorded 9°. I realize that's in line with most but not sure if I buy it after what I discovered yesterday. The truth is out there somewhere.

Definitely sounds like a slim shady going on with the Wrinkle Rockers thermometers lately skipper.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Latest satellite image of Ant Fiona headed toward Anthill P.E.I. decent eye.

https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=ht ... ce=sh/x/im

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

To all my forum friends.

fall-fall-season.gif

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (26).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (27).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (28).png

[Typeing3]

20220922091610-ba5e0b11b876e8154b40208d65ae4ed7ac916055.png

[Typeing3]

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles

00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)

gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (2).png

00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)

eps_apcpn_wus_60 (2).png

00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)

gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (2).png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

It looks like a cool dump then a bit of a 2 day heat hump after that it looks to slide downhill Tdry. Seems we keep chasing that precip as well, isn't this much like September/early October 2020?