May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Sat May 04, 2024 10:38 am May the 4th be with you everyone! Today is pretty balmy with clouds. It seems the rain that was forecast has disappeared but it looks like we could get rain tomorrow and into the first half of the week.
Looks like some serious heat end of next week..30c in the valley :clap: :clap:
MAYDAY MAYDAY! We need some warm sunny weather this month. Some showers mixed in would be good too :thumbup:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-05-05.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-05-05T.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-05-05T1.png



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20240505195033-cd423e062ea0e86374d2dad55bc1772e68f67689.png
20240505195017-20ceaad6f7713ee354ed21c8e6ff5e15877b0a21.png
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

One more chilly trough bringing some more higher elevation snows to the Similkameens..then some super sunny and very warms temps end of next week. YESSSS
:hearteyes: :hearteyes:
The morels will burst up buttees :clap:
MAYDAY MAYDAY! We need some warm sunny weather this month. Some showers mixed in would be good too :thumbup:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (7).png


00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60 (6).png


00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (7).png
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Gonna be a beauty week. Bring on the heat, both on and off the ice.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun May 05, 2024 9:56 pm Gonna be a beauty week. Bring on the heat, both on and off the ice.
Insane too hot 🔥 for this Sardine l'll fry skipper Gimpers.
Join us next season
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun May 05, 2024 11:06 pm Insane too hot 🔥 for this Sardine l'll fry skipper Gimpers.
Mmmm, fried Jalapeno sardines on avocado toast, my favourite.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun May 05, 2024 11:53 pm Mmmm, fried Jalapeno sardines on avocado toast, my favourite.
:wtf: :eek: Well the rain has stopped at the pond in south Sardis and we received 16mm in the pond.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun May 05, 2024 11:53 pm Mmmm, fried Jalapeno sardines on avocado toast, my favourite.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I haven't looked outside this morning but apparently it has been raining heavily. It might be time to plant those cucumbers and Tomatoes!
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Mon May 06, 2024 5:56 am I haven't looked outside this morning but apparently it has been raining heavily. It might be time to plant those cucumbers and Tomatoes!
Sunny breaks here in Willoughby rn..nice mixed bag :thumbup: and the little veggies will be very happy Stuffman!
MAYDAY MAYDAY! We need some warm sunny weather this month. Some showers mixed in would be good too :thumbup:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Hawk wrote: Mon May 06, 2024 8:10 am Sunny breaks here in Willoughby rn..nice mixed bag :thumbup: and the little veggies will be very happy Stuffman!
Yes :) I'm in Willoughby as well. It's a mixed bag right now. Mark Madryga said risk of thunderstorms today.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

I'm in Seattle for a short visit (returning tomorrow) and yesterday it absolutely poured rain from the time I left Vancouver late afternoon until I reached Everett around 6:30 pm.

Going through the Skagit Valley in the early evening, still light, but rain pouring down, brought back memories of late April 1996 when the vegetable canning plant in Stanwood burned down. I could see the smoke plume through the rain but it wasn't clear exactly what it was. Only learned later that night when watching the news on TV.

Nice to see we can still get a spring featuring decent rainfall.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Breaking news: the Climate Prediction Center now has ENSO 3.4 in neutral territory!

The discussion from today says the ENSO 3.4 observed temperature is at 0.5C which is borderline El Nino territory. Anything below 0.5 is neutral.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri May 03, 2024 12:01 pm That article is nothing more or less than full out fear mongering clickbait. It's a shame that much of journalism is based on fear rather than facts.
Yes, we get it. You don't believe in climate change. You think millions of scientists are lying for fun.
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