November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:11 pm I’ve always thought the Kuchera was more valuable when the atmosphere could support greater than 10:1 ratios. In marginal scenarios, I’d take both with a grain of salt, but especially the 10:1 ratio maps.
Interesting but there have been times when the Kuchera maps were less snowy than the 10:1 ratio maps due to it being a marginal setup.
Therefore, I've always thought the Kuchera was more accurate in cases where the ratio is either above or below 10:1. I could be wrong though. :thumbup:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by WeatherPro »

:alert: :alert: Snowfall Alert :alert: :alert:

Wet flurries will start to develop over night tonight in various regions of the Lower Mainland. You will need some elevation though. Wetbulb should help bring snow levels lower. Dewpoints are below zero in most places.

Not much accumulation if anything than a dusting tonight, but things pick up Tuesday. They REALLY pick up Tuesday night and then go almost non-stop until Friday! :shock: This is unusual for this time of year, rare indeed. It's almost like a dream, but it's slowly coming true!

Monday night will see temps drop the lowest, and I'm thinking by the time the snow arrives, if higher elevation hold on to the cold, you could see some nice light powdery snow.

If there is a slight warmup in between systems this week, it will mostly only affect sea level.

BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS MID WEEK! :flakey:

Snowfall amount are pretty impressive right now if the models deliver or over deliver. Talking up to 30cm in Burnaby, New West, Coq, Surrey and the usual higher elevations. 15cm at sea level. Up to 40cm in the Fraser Valley, Abbots, Chilli, and Hope!!! :wtf: Best be prepared! This will lead to blizzard like conditions with outflow winds, blowing snow, and impressive snowfall rates.

Now, could this all bust? Perhaps, but unlikely. This will not be a total miss by any means. It may not produce as much as the models dictate, but everyone is getting a widespread heavy snowfall mid-week!
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:25 pm Interesting but there have been times when the Kuchera maps were less snowy than the 10:1 ratio maps due to it being a marginal setup.
Therefore, I've always thought the Kuchera was more accurate in cases where the ratio is either above or below 10:1. I could be wrong though. :thumbup:
I think over the years Jr. man El Neats has brainwashed us snow/cold lovers not to believe positive maps. :x
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

Snow mixing in now with the rain in Sardis 2.4c
-Sardis #greatdaytobeaduck
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

WeatherPro wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:28 pm :alert: :alert: Snowfall Alert :alert: :alert:

Wet flurries will start to develop over night tonight in various regions of the Lower Mainland. You will need some elevation though. Wetbulb should help bring snow levels lower. Dewpoints are below zero in most places.

Not much accumulation if anything than a dusting tonight, but things pick up Tuesday. They REALLY pick up Tuesday night and then go almost non-stop until Friday! :shock: This is unusual for this time of year, rare indeed. It's almost like a dream, but it's slowly coming true!

Monday night will see temps drop the lowest, and I'm thinking by the time the snow arrives, if higher elevation hold on to the cold, you could see some nice light powdery snow.

If there is a slight warmup in between systems this week, it will mostly only affect sea level.

BLIZZARD LIKE CONDITIONS MID WEEK! :flakey:

Snowfall amount are pretty impressive right now if the models deliver or over deliver. Talking up to 30cm in Burnaby, New West, Coq, Surrey and the usual higher elevations. 15cm at sea level. Up to 40cm in the Fraser Valley, Abbots, Chilli, and Hope!!! :wtf: Best be prepared! This will lead to blizzard like conditions with outflow winds, blowing snow, and impressive snowfall rates.

Now, could this all bust? Perhaps, but unlikely. This will not be a total miss by any means. It may not produce as much as the models dictate, but everyone is getting a widespread heavy snowfall mid-week!
Awesome Wpro, you rock. :clap:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

40cm perhaps John. :lol:
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Looking for a mega dump in Fraser Heights! :thumbup:

Sardis will get bombed this year since my parents moved there and they don' want snow! lol!
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Feetz of Snow is my favorite poster.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Slytyguy wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:31 pm Snow mixing in now with the rain in Sardis 2.4c
Kool Slyts l'm out in Rosedale tonight nothing here yet.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:36 pm Feetz of Snow is my favorite poster.
Is that a hint?
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Feetz of Snow »

Light rain in Langley,
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:36 pm Feetz of Snow is my favorite poster.
Yeah nice to have a couple extra feetz rock the forum. :thumbup: it's that cause he hasn't pee'd you off yet. :x
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:38 pm Is that a hint?
:lol: Could be his son skipper.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Feetz of Snow »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:38 pm Is that a hint?
???
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:38 pm Is that a hint?
They show up and we get feetz of snow and 50% more WeatherPro.
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