Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pmLocation: Vancouver (Langara)Elevation: 72 m/236 ftHas thanked: 4164 times Been thanked: 8316 times
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by VanCitySouth Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:02 pm
Typeing3 wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:49 pm
The GFS will sober up tonight. Cut the snow totals in half, in line with all the other models.
The GFS isn't actually that drunk. The only thing is it's not driving the low into VI like the other models. It might be 50 miles of difference between the models but that'll be the difference between no southerly flow and some southerly flow.
It's a small outlier in positioning the low which causes it to be a huge outlier on snowfall.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo
∞ to 0.5
GFS
Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
Storm
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pmLocation: North Burnaby/BurquitlamHas thanked: 2493 times Been thanked: 12532 times
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by Storm Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:04 pm
Lattest HRRR. C'MON
Screenshot_20221128_150314.jpg
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pmLocation: New WestminsterElevation: 106mHas thanked: 6962 times Been thanked: 16338 times
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by wetcoast91 Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:05 pm
Storm wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:04 pm
Lattest HRRR. C'MON
Screenshot_20221128_150314.jpg
Dry finger creeping up to Abbotsford now
Catnip
Moderator
Posts: 10709Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pmLocation: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)Elevation: 530ftHas thanked: 12935 times Been thanked: 24059 times
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by Catnip Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:05 pm
Typeing3 wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 2:49 pm
The GFS will sober up tonight. Cut the snow totals in half, in line with all the other models.
Nope.
It will hold firm and we will all be pleasantly surprised.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm
Wx Stn:
https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Storm
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pmLocation: North Burnaby/BurquitlamHas thanked: 2493 times Been thanked: 12532 times
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by Storm Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:06 pm
Catnip wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:05 pm
Nope.
It will hold firm and we will all be pleasantly surprised.
Precip. isn't that off from its ensembles
ens_image.png
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pmLocation: CoquitlamElevation: 25M./80Ft.Has thanked: 26799 times Been thanked: 28396 times
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by Typeing3 Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:06 pm
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:01 pm
10-15cm with local blowing snow. That's my call.
Been expecting 10cm here since yesterday. Certainly more than enough snow to shovel!
(Not to say I won't be happy with more)
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pmLocation: CoquitlamElevation: 25M./80Ft.Has thanked: 26799 times Been thanked: 28396 times
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by Typeing3 Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:07 pm
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:05 pm
Dry finger creeping up to Abbotsford now
Cold wind for Jr.
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary
Nordelian
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 119Joined: Sat Aug 13, 2022 7:30 amLocation: Vancouver FairviewElevation: 50 M.Has thanked: 9 times Been thanked: 345 times
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by Nordelian Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:08 pm
Storm wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:04 pm
Lattest HRRR. C'MON
Screenshot_20221128_150314.jpg
Don't post 10:1 ratio maps
Kuchera ratios showing more like 10-15 cm as opposed to 25 cm on these 10:1 maps
It will be wet snow
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pmLocation: CoquitlamElevation: 25M./80Ft.Has thanked: 26799 times Been thanked: 28396 times
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by Typeing3 Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:08 pm
Catnip wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:05 pm
Nope.
It will hold firm and we will all be pleasantly surprised.
No complaints if that happens.
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8632Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pmLocation: Langley-Willoughby/The SimilkameeeensElevation: 100m/950mHas thanked: 17154 times Been thanked: 8328 times
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by Hawk Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:11 pm
If it stays all snow watch out
This storm is putting out 30-60mm of liquid precip. May be the Snow extreme we have been waiting for
Of all times in November. Would cripple the city
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pmLocation: CoquitlamElevation: 25M./80Ft.Has thanked: 26799 times Been thanked: 28396 times
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by Typeing3 Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:11 pm
Nordelian wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:08 pm
Don't post 10:1 ratio maps
Kuchera ratios showing more like 10-15 cm as opposed to 25 cm on these 10:1 maps
It will be wet snow
The best type of snow to retain once we drop below freezing Wednesday night.
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary
Catnip
Moderator
Posts: 10709Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pmLocation: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)Elevation: 530ftHas thanked: 12935 times Been thanked: 24059 times
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by Catnip Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:13 pm
Hawk wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:11 pm
If it stays all snow watch out
This storm is putting out 30-60mm of liquid precip. May be the Snow extreme we have been waiting for
Of all times in November.
Would cripple the city
The Port Mann anyways....
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm
Wx Stn:
https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pmLocation: Vancouver (Langara)Elevation: 72 m/236 ftHas thanked: 4164 times Been thanked: 8316 times
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by VanCitySouth Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:13 pm
Typeing3 wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:11 pm
The best type of snow to retain once we drop below freezing Wednesday night.
New: NWS has issued Winter Storm Watch for Western Whatcom for their afternoon forecast package. Forecast is 4-8".
2025-26 season stats:
Climo
∞ to 0.5
GFS
Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pmLocation: New WestminsterElevation: 106mHas thanked: 6962 times Been thanked: 16338 times
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by wetcoast91 Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:14 pm
Typeing3 wrote: ↑ Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:11 pm
The best type of snow to retain once we drop below freezing Wednesday night.
Makes me think of 2016-17...Streets were like ice hockey rinks and people were skating up and down the alley near me.
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8632Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pmLocation: Langley-Willoughby/The SimilkameeeensElevation: 100m/950mHas thanked: 17154 times Been thanked: 8328 times
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by Hawk Mon Nov 28, 2022 3:15 pm
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
∞ to 0.5 
GFS
