November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Radar wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:28 pm It's gon rain!

Temps creeping up in Abby. Almost 1cm of snow so far, oooo. I see accumulation amounts on the RAP and HRRR have dropped. Transition to rain at midnight says the HRRR, but I have a feeling that will happen when the precip slows down.

Temps are going above 0 already 15km south of the border. Freezing line has been moving north at 15km/hr. Someone has to put up the wall at the border.

Dewpoint finally screaming up so precip should increase.
Border is close.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Radar wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:28 pm It's gon rain!

Temps creeping up in Abby. Almost 1cm of snow so far, oooo. I see accumulation amounts on the RAP and HRRR have dropped. Transition to rain at midnight says the HRRR, but I have a feeling that will happen when the precip slows down.

Temps are going above 0 already 15km south of the border. Freezing line has been moving north at 15km/hr. Someone has to put up the wall at the border.

Dewpoint finally screaming up so precip should increase.
YXX is currently reporting -2.4C and my station at home is at -1.7C and has shown no signs of any major warming. :thumbup: :flakey:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 3:54 pm I'm at Burnaby mountain right now. Conditions have really improved. Blowing snow
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Currently -0.2c, dp -0.5c with moderate snow in east Coquitlam.

5cm so far today.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Anyone can send me a good radar ?
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Weather101 wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:42 pm Anyone can send me a good radar ?
My radar was good, not anymore. Try it
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 4:11 pm
  1. It is taking a while for the moisture to work its way east to you.
  2. Fraser outflow is eating most of whatever is falling up there.
3 Donut hole :lol:
As the event progresses, the moisture should overwhelm the outflow and give you a decent snowfall.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Heavier Snow is moving in now for the next 3-4 hours.
Enjoy it everyone. It was a long model riding, it's worth every second of it.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Bellingham airport has switched to reporting “unknown precipitation,” probably a rain/snow mix.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:50 pm Bellingham airport has switched to reporting “unknown precipitation,” probably a rain/snow mix.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Has anyone heard of fog today? BC Ferries now says ferries from Sunshine Coast to Horseshoe Bay are cancelled due to fog??? :crazy: :crazy: H Bay to SC 4:20 fog next two sailings cancelled due to strong winds.
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:50 pm Bellingham airport has switched to reporting “unknown precipitation,” probably a rain/snow mix.
No modeling had Bellingham scoring a lot of snow. Even weak SE winds really warm that area up.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Weather101 wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:50 pm Pineapples
Last night ECMWF and HRRR were both predicting that coastal Whatcom County would have a relatively prompt and early transition to above-freezing conditions. Looks like those models nailed it.

Both models also showed most of the Lower Mainland holding out as snow until some time between midnight and 10:00 AM.

At this stage, it is quite clear that the snowier Goofus scenario is not going to materialize.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Nov 29, 2022 5:52 pm No modeling had Bellingham scoring a lot of snow. Even weak SE winds really warm that area up.
Goofus did. But most of the others did not.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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