Monty wrote: ↑Thu Dec 08, 2022 9:38 am
So much blocking across the north. Almost has to be some sort of a backdoor arctic front. Which as we know are often dry and underwhelming in this area.
Was really hoping for a pattern reset with a +AO to build up the cold in the northern hemisphere for Jan. Really prefer a N-S gradient or even MT polar flow from the NW/Alaska region. The developing cold in the west is really dry in origin and I suspect models continue to overdue the airmasses density in the LR.
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 08, 2022 9:50 am
Was really hoping for a pattern reset with a +AO to build up the cold in the northern hemisphere for Jan. Really prefer a N-S gradient or even MT polar flow from the NW/Alaska region. The developing cold in the west is really dry in origin and I suspect models continue to overdue the airmasses density in the LR.
The way things are going the pattern reset might happen in January. Bye bye cold January. Maybe February will have a parting shot before El Niño arrives for spring onwards.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Monty wrote: ↑Thu Dec 08, 2022 10:14 am
The way things are going the pattern reset might happen in January. Bye bye cold January. Maybe February will have a parting shot before El Niño arrives for spring onwards.
An early spring? That's crazy talk. It will be cold and slushy through May followed by tons of rain in June and deadly heat by Canada Day and no rain with tons of smoke onwards through November.
Monty wrote: ↑Thu Dec 08, 2022 10:14 am
The way things are going the pattern reset might happen in January. Bye bye cold January. Maybe February will have a parting shot before El Niño arrives for spring onwards.
January is perpetually cursed now. February is winter.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo ∞ to 0.5 GFS
Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
GFS showing a potential white Christmas.
∞ to 0.5 
GFS
Fall/Winter 
