February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[PortKells]

Even the GEM..

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-8017600.png

[Monty]

This is from a post this morning, accompanied by the photo, on the 'Vancouver Island Weather Enthusiasts' FB page - 'Parksville at 6:20 am, definitely was not expecting this much! And its still goin'

Methinks Straight Effect Snow...like we've see there many times before. There was a report late yesterday evening of over 30 cms on the higher ground above Lantzville, north of Nanaimo. A couple more snowfalls reported this morning - 'Over 2 feet in Nanoose bay' and 'We have at least 16" in Coombs'

Only 3 cm on the ground in Cow Bay this morning. The wind came up pretty strong overnight so some of it blew away.

We were just far enough inland to get sheltered from the dry outflow yesterday evening. Measured 13.5cm at my house but by the time you get to the cow bay lights at the highway it’s about 10cm less.

[wetcoast91]

No way in hell we are seeing 30+cm.
My money is on 10cm regionwide.

[Bear Golden]

No way in hell we are seeing 30+cm.
My money is on 10cm regionwide.

Someone call the cops this guy said the "H" WORD!!!

[VanCitySouth]

No way in hell we are seeing 30+cm.
My money is on 10cm regionwide.

I think 10-20 is reasonable because it's always reasonable to go with the Euro

[PortKells]

No way in hell we are seeing 30+cm.
My money is on 10cm regionwide.

You don't think 20+ notf?

[Roberts Creeker]

I am mowing my lawn tomorrow and there is nothing that you or the big guy upstairs can do about it.

We need pics.

Snow is pretty much gone here, just a dusting of white in a few spots.
Currently a cold -2.5c dp -7
low overnight -4.9 at 6 am

[Monty]

You don't think 20+ notf?

I like 8-15cm. Outside chance someone notf and at higher elevation gets 20 or so.

[PortKells]

I like 8-15cm. Outside chance someone notf and at higher elevation gets 20 or so.

Imo there's not a lot of support for that. Unless you're talking overall depth which I could buy with the time of year and the warming temps on Sunday.

ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-indiv_snow-7132000.png

[stuffradio]

srefplumes shows ~10-15cm

[PortKells]

Euro stays steady, slight increase actually.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7456000.png

[PortKells]

srefplumes shows ~10-15cm

For YVR? that's pretty much a given at this point barring an epic collapse.

[VanCitySouth]

Euro stays steady, slight increase actually.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-7456000.png

The trendzzz are our frendzzz

[Monty]

Imo there's not a lot of support for that. Unless you're talking overall depth which I could buy with the time of year and the warming temps on Sunday.

ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-indiv_snow-7132000.png

I’m only talking about the Saturday night event. Tough to speculate on amounts for anything next week. Probably more to come but temps will warm slightly for a time next week. I think we might see another shot of arctic air during the first week of March.

[tyweather]

Snow for San Francisco and San Jose?



https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/02/ ... n-san.html

First ever blizzard warnings issued for California (red)