February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 9:55 am Full on cyclogenesis with this low off the coast.
Is this a good or bad thing for snow Nito? Technical opinion please and thank you.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

12Z Euro says westernmost areas lose out.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7628800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weatherhead2 »

Dumping snow in my part of Langford (Victoria). Starting to stick a bit now. 👍
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Malahat

Assuming Monty is seeing some snow as well?

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:08 am 12Z Euro says westernmost areas lose out.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7628800.png
Crap Bellingham and Hood canal do well weird not Hood canal l understand they can do good but Bellingham looks suspicious to me. :dunno:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:11 am Malahat

Assuming Monty is seeing some snow as well?

Image
Just starting here.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:13 am Crap Bellingham and Hood canal do well weird not Hood canal l understand they can do good but Bellingham looks suspicious to me. :dunno:
That can and does happen at times (see February 2021). Usually it is a sign of a system tracking just a little too far south to be optimal for the BC Lower Mainland.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

North Burnaby/Burquitlam
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:08 am 12Z Euro says westernmost areas lose out.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7628800.png
I have a feeling that the models won't peg the winners and losers of this one. Basically throwing darts at a board right now.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 9:59 am Is this a good or bad thing for snow Nito? Technical opinion please and thank you.
Sounds like a setting on my washer it doesn't turn out good Van man. :x
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:18 am I have a feeling that the models won't peg the winners and losers of this one. Basically throwing darts at a board right now.
Always bad to bet against the Euro. The question is: is that part of a trend, or is it a blip? The 18Z should clear things up.

Still shows snow coming, and given how good this season has been already I can't complain.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:18 am That can and does happen at times (see February 2021). Usually it is a sign of a system tracking just a little too far south to be optimal for the BC Lower Mainland.
Los of time Rubes to nudge a bit more northward and as the AF says BOOM or Score! :lol:
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:18 am I have a feeling that the models won't peg the winners and losers of this one. Basically throwing darts at a board right now.
Deformation zones are tricky for models to pinpoint.

Considering as of last night EC had a few showers or flurries on the forecast for today, there are going to be some surprised people looking out the window today. ❄️
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:24 am Always bad to bet against the Euro. The question is: is that part of a trend, or is it a blip? The 18Z should clear things up.

Still shows snow coming, and given how good this season has been already I can't complain.
GOLU model looking very accurate the next 36 hours.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

BTW it's hilarious Rubes whenever you post your snowfall or something good snow wise on the AF they totally ignore you and Monty are they that narrow minded or is it a mental problem? It's funny to see but also rude IMO.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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