September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Slimshadyinsardis]

I must say l don’t think l suffered from the heat at all this summer the heat humps were short lived the overnight lows weren’t even top tier sweat box material impressive in my books.

[Weather101]

I always thought of D.E.W. in the Arctic distant early warning to do with the Cold War era and nukes.

Makes sense

[Weather101]

Typically also leans warmer than average for much of the country including Toronto.

Cooler and wetter than average further east (Atlantic provinces) and to the south (New England, Mid-Atlantic and the SE US).

I wonder what the stats are in El Nino years for snow in Toronto, I'll have to look that up later.

[Weather101]

Typically also leans warmer than average for much of the country including Toronto.

Cooler and wetter than average further east (Atlantic provinces) and to the south (New England, Mid-Atlantic and the SE US).

Is this true ?

Generally, El Niño does not significantly impact eastern Canada, including the Maritimes, but it may reduce tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic Ocean

[Typeing3]

Is this true ?

Generally, El Niño does not significantly impact eastern Canada, including the Maritimes, but it may reduce tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic Ocean

Could be recency bias on my part, as I recall the eastern seaboard (including Atlantic Canada) getting slammed with multiple snowstorms during winter 2009-10 and 2014-15.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

[Typeing3]

20230907133846-0250b855accd82bad613f05cedcd5a56323c7213.png

[PortKells]

Oh c’mon just a reason to grab federal disaster money crooks.

You’re better than this.
How do you not see the drought happening right now?

[Weather101]

Could be recency bias on my part, as I recall the eastern seaboard (including Atlantic Canada) getting slammed with multiple snowstorms during winter 2009-10 and 2014-15.

Those maps tell a story!

[Slimshadyinsardis]

You’re better than this.
How do you not see the drought happening right now?

I just get tired of hearing the same song and dance year after year Kells we just had a couple of refreshing showering days and remember growing up for me drought, wildfires. campfire bans was unheard of.

[stuffradio]

We're 10 days away from being at the max rate of daylight loss and then we will slowly start to decrease the amount we lose every day until the Winter solstice. We're 16 days away from the Autumn Equinox. #Cherryblossomssarecoming

[Slimshadyinsardis]

We're 10 days away from being at the max rate of daylight loss and then we will slowly start to decrease the amount we lose every day until the Winter solstice. We're 16 days away from the Autumn Equinox. #Cherryblossomssarecoming

Yeah!

[Weather101]

Crazy

[PortKells]

I just get tired of hearing the same song and dance year after year Kells we just had a couple of refreshing showering days and remember growing up for me drought, wildfires. campfire bans was unheard of.

Fair enough but that’s a far cry from defaulting to government conspiracy for every single thing. Sometimes the boring answer is the true one. In this case, the climate has been altered and things are unfolding about as predicted.

The showery days were not even close to enough to end the drought. It’ll take weeks.

[Weather101]

Fair enough but that’s a far cry from defaulting to government conspiracy for every single thing. Sometimes the boring answer is the true one. In this case, the climate has been altered and things are unfolding about as predicted.

The showery days were not even close to enough to end the drought. It’ll take weeks.

You mean rain like this???