December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dancepine: :raindrip:
wet.jpg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-1806400.png
Screenshot 2023-12-04 at 11.57.31 AM.png
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 10:48 am If your life is going to be ruined by having a holiday season that is snow-free, mild, and rainy, then your life is going to be ruined most years in this climate. Some people on the AF really need to :arrow: :arrow: .
To the similkameens?
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 11:03 am Bright side for :flakey: is this is looking like a one off El Nino.

Image

It would really shake things up for 2024-25 if this verified.
Ryan Maue (If I remember correctly) tweeted something yesterday about how models are starting to have a bigger consensus of ENSO flipping to La Nina.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 10:48 am If your life is going to be ruined by having a holiday season that is snow-free, mild, and rainy, then your life is going to be ruined most years in this climate. Some people on the AF really need to :arrow: :arrow: .
I agree, They should just enjoy life without worrying about the weather. It's a bonus in my life. Sure, I love snow, but I'm not going to let it make me depressed or miserable if it doesn't happen, lol.

The whole AF forum is a toxic environment that even when it snows, people are still fighting, and by time, it does snow members have already been through hell.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 12:03 pm Ryan Maue (If I remember correctly) tweeted something yesterday about how models are starting to have a bigger consensus of ENSO flipping to La Nina.
A one off El Nino is amazing. Wouldn't want to be stuck in this.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 1:10 pm A one off El Nino is amazing. Wouldn't want to be stuck in this.
Agreed. :thumbup:

I'd be happy with a cold neutral winter. Those have been big producers in the past, especially when paired with a +QBO. :clap: :thumbup: :flakey:
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 12:02 pm To the similkameens?
Unfortunately not even the snowiest place in BC can escape the wrath of the :dancepine:

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 1:12 pm Agreed. :thumbup:

I'd be happy with a cold neutral winter. Those have been big producers in the past, especially when paired with a +QBO. :clap: :thumbup: :flakey:
Agreed. I'd like to give a coolish neutral ENSO a go. It seems like some of the strong Nina winters get over-hyped but don't really produce.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 1:12 pm Agreed. :thumbup:

I'd be happy with a cold neutral winter. Those have been big producers in the past, especially when paired with a +QBO. :clap: :thumbup: :flakey:
Last one of those we had was 2016-17!
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Wow..
2023-12-04_132142.jpg
2023-12-04_132026.jpg
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 1:19 pm Agreed. I'd like to give a coolish neutral ENSO a go. It seems like some of the strong Nina winters get over-hyped but don't really produce.

:shrug:
Recent Nina's have for some reason coincided with a strong +PNA phase in November and January's, almost bringing Nino conditions to the region. Really wondering what a sudden crash does for 2024-25. Seems like strong La Nina's have the biggest impact in that Feb-April period.

I think this winter will be similar to 2015-16.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 12:02 pm To the similkameens?
:lol: Isn't the Shitmilkameenzz for punishment only. It's currently 7c and 5.5mm has fallen in the pond in south Sardis today.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Hound wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 1:24 pm Wow..

2023-12-04_132142.jpg


2023-12-04_132026.jpg
Hound ole buddy what radar app is that?
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Hound wrote: Mon Dec 04, 2023 1:24 pm Wow..

2023-12-04_132142.jpg


2023-12-04_132026.jpg
Victoria is getting hella rain shadowed yeesh
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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