December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Now looking at the potential for 150-200mm rain for the region between Monday to Wednesday with freezing levels near 2800m.

Ya, quite the AR being modelled.

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[Catnip]

The "fire hose" is pointed straight at us.

Would imagine there will be flooding concerns with this.

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[tyweather]

All snow on Whistler?

[tyweather]

Mount Seymour 3000 ft level

[Abby_wx]

Sorry for asking again Abby Sr. is your weather station going to be set up in upper Mission? how are you liking the new area?

Yes, eventually. Just having trouble finding the time. The area is good so far.

[wetcoast91]

The "fire hose" is pointed straight at us.

Would imagine there will be flooding concerns with this.

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It's a really potent AR. Could see some flooding for Vancouver Island...the one good thing is there is barely any snow below 1200m.

[Hound]

Yes, eventually. Just having trouble finding the time. The area is good so far.

Are you going to change your name to Mishy_wx?

[Catnip]

Fwiw, the 12Z Euro is back to showing some slop potential on Christmas evening/overnight.

But don't worry, any slop that falls will be quickly washed away by the .... and I think I need to add this guy too now, right Neetz??

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[Abby_wx]

Are you going to change your name to Mishy_wx?

Haha, I don't know.

Still need to purchase a new domain for the site as well.

[Catnip]

A wet Euro run for the Island.

euro rain.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Hmmm (thanks @Catnip)…

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-3462400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-3462400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-3462400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-3462400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-3505600.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

GFS

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-3451600.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-refc_ptype-3451600.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-3505600.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-3451600.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-3451600.png

[Mattman]

Yeah, Euro is wet for the Island, but it’s not the firehose of an ar produced by the 12z GFS. The 12Z GFS would put the new riprap on the Coq to the test.

[VanCitySouth]

GFS

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-3451600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-refc_ptype-3451600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-3505600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-3451600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-3451600.png

So you're telling me there's a chance

[Catnip]

Yeah, Euro is wet for the Island, but it’s not the firehose of an ar produced by the 12z GFS. The 12Z GFS would put the new riprap on the Coq to the test.

Ya, some pretty impressive rainfall totals on that run. Most of this falls from Mon-Weds.

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