December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

Sheesh.. at the point I'd just close.

I had the local ski hills closing before Christmas.

I did not foresee the higher alpine areas including Baker and Whistler having issues. Next weeks AR looks to be all rain up there which could lead to closures before NYE.

[AbbyJr]

It's a really potent AR. Could see some flooding for Vancouver Island...the one good thing is there is barely any snow below 1200m.

But it doesn't look to be aimed at the Fraser Valley like November 2021. So another typical rainy day here but nothing unusual. While we don't need another major flood, it would be nice to something more significant than the typical rain shadow AR's.

[tyweather]

This may be my first winter Vanderhoof trip where I don't ski at all

[Hawk]

I had the local ski hills closing before Christmas.

I did not foresee the higher alpine areas including Baker and Whistler having issues. Next weeks AR looks to be all rain up there which could lead to closures before NYE.

This is great news. Thanks for sharing

[Catnip]

Today's extended EPS shows our chance for below normal temps to be around week 2 in Jan. After that we end up right back where we started.

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[Catnip]

This is great news. Thanks for sharing

Not looking good Buttee....

Even the Similkameens are hurting. Some warm days next week for their standard.

Today Cloudy. High plus 3.
Tonight Mainly cloudy. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low zero.
Fri, 22 Dec Cloudy. 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers late in the morning and in the afternoon. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. Wind becoming west 20 km/h in the afternoon. Temperature steady near zero.
Night Cloudy with 60 percent chance of snow. Low minus 5.
Sat, 23 Dec Sunny. High minus 2.
Night Clear. Low minus 10.
Sun, 24 Dec Sunny. High minus 5.
Night Clear. Low minus 11.
Mon, 25 Dec A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of flurries. High plus 1.
Night Cloudy with 30 percent chance of flurries. Low plus 1.
Tue, 26 Dec Cloudy with 40 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 5.
Night Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Low plus 2.
Wed, 27 Dec Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. High 6.

[Catnip]

18Z GFS rainfall through Thursday evening (next week). Wet, but not as wet as the 12z. Again, Island looks to take the brunt of the ARs.

GFS rain.png

[AbbyJr]

Major SSW event looking more and more likely but still not guaranteed. But there is an increasing number of ensemble members on the Euro showing a full wind reversal. See graph posted below. If this does verify, then I wouldn't worry too much about what the current models show as they usually struggle considerably leading up to and during SSW events. It should also be noted that a major SSW does not guarantee a cold outcome in the PNW but it's probably our best chance this winter. Time will tell but I'd be surprised if we don't see at least a few days of backdoor cold at some point in January. By the way, when looking at the posted graph, anything below the 0 line represents a major SSW where there is a full wind reversal in the stratosphere. So that's what we are looking for when examining this graph for major SSW potential.

10hpazonalwindsecmwf.png

[Weather101]

I had the local ski hills closing before Christmas.

I did not foresee the higher alpine areas including Baker and Whistler having issues. Next weeks AR looks to be all rain up there which could lead to closures before NYE.

Brutal....

[wetcoast91]

Models appear to be doing away with the ARs on the 00z run. Just looks mild (+9 to +12C) with light rain, drizzle and fog.

Really want spring to come soon. Being socked in this mucky pattern is not enjoyable. Even the air quality has been moderate at times despite the rain due to the overall lack of wind this month.

[Weather101]

Models appear to be doing away with the ARs on the 00z run. Just looks mild (+9 to +12C) with light rain, drizzle and fog.

Really want spring to come soon. Being socked in this mucky pattern is not enjoyable. Even the air quality has been moderate at times despite the rain due to the overall lack of wind this month.

It's also just boring as well.. Bring on spring if this is how winter will be.

[AbbyJr]

Cold and very windy in Halifax currently. Would love to see a strong outflow event like that here but I'm probably out of luck this winter.

Screenshot 2023-12-21 at 10.12.15 PM.png

[AbbyJr]

Models appear to be doing away with the ARs on the 00z run. Just looks mild (+9 to +12C) with light rain, drizzle and fog.

Really want spring to come soon. Being socked in this mucky pattern is not enjoyable. Even the air quality has been moderate at times despite the rain due to the overall lack of wind this month.

Sure hope they back to the AR solution. Drizzle is horrible. If it's going to rain, let it be a decent soaker.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Higher sun angles!

Good l got you brain washed Stuffaholic.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

This may be my first winter Vanderhoof trip where I don't ski at all

That's absolutely insane Ty my man, l remember saying back in November l hope your Christmas trip would yield some snow for you but this is looking ridiculous this year every where except Anchorage AK. is having record breaking snowfalls again this winter.