December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Johnny will slay the Arctic dragon. :lol:
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Whats the difference between the Ensemble control run versus the mean? And which is considered more accurate? Is the control one random member out of all of them and the mean the average of all of them? If so, then the mean would most likely be more reliable than the control.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

1996:
5A99D473-238B-4B7B-A0B6-325F21838179.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

For anyone that wants to reminisce:

https://globalnews.ca/news/3146344/a-lo ... -victoria/
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec-PxqGDkWY&t=353s
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Harooch wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2019 6:44 pm The canucks will win tonight and the models will revert to a strong westerly flow, I can feel it.
Harooooooooooooch
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Harooch wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2019 6:44 pm The canucks will loose tonight and the models will revert to a strong AR event I can feel it.
:lol:
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AbbyJr
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2019 7:04 pm 1996:

5A99D473-238B-4B7B-A0B6-325F21838179.jpeg
A redux of that is in Johnny's timeframe :D :clap:
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2019 7:02 pm Whats the difference between the Ensemble control run versus the mean? And which is considered more accurate? Is the control one random member out of all of them and the mean the average of all of them? If so, then the mean would most likely be more reliable than the control.
The one that delivers the cold and snow Jr
:D
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2019 7:21 pm Harooooooooooooch
Bless you.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Somewhere I have a few (film, of course, given the year) photos I took in the Seattle suburb of Shoreline in 1996. I measured nearly two feet on my back deck after it had changed to warm rain and been melting for a few hours! The rapid melting after that event made at least a big a mess of things as the heavy snowfall did.

The roadside snow berms were approximately the same height as the roof line of the average sedan. It was surreal.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Antoine Roussel!
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2019 7:24 pmBless you.
:lol: hire him Gimps if nothing else to carry our luggage on the road. :lol:
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2019 7:02 pm Whats the difference between the Ensemble control run versus the mean? And which is considered more accurate? Is the control one random member out of all of them and the mean the average of all of them? If so, then the mean would most likely be more reliable than the control.
Mean is more reliable yes. The control seems to like to spit out some pretty crazy cold solutions. Not sure exactly where it comes from.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Alex burrows speech was nice.
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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