August 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

Ben Noll posted about how we now have a developing Nina with a +IOD instead of a negative one. The analog years I think are associated with a weak La Nina and a +IOD are 2005, 2008, 2010 and 2016. Thoughts?

2010-11 was a moderate/strong La Nina so I would rule that out for now based on the updated projections for a weak La Nina.

2005, 2008, and 2016 seem like better matches.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

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12z ECMWF ensembles:

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12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

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[stuffradio]

2010-11 was a moderate/strong La Nina so I would rule that out for now based on the updated projections for a weak La Nina.

2005, 2008, and 2016 seem like better matches.

Ben Noll (a meteorologist on Twitter) replied to me and said he has 2005 and 2016 on his list

[Roberts Creeker]

8i.JPG

Too cold!

Snow!!!!

An upper trough has brought in cooler-than-normal temperatures for parts of Western Canada this week.

This has also meant freezing levels that resemble October rather than August. Freezing levels have been at approximately 1800 metres, and normally they would be around 3000 metres at this time of the year.

Areas across British Columbia such as Whistler, Revelstoke and the Okanagan connector have already seen late-summer flakes of snow on Tuesday.

The precipitation will last through Wednesday in the alpine, with up to 30 cm possible in the Alberta Rockies. A pretty bold reminder that winter may be closer than you think.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Aurora Borealis is active tonight!

You can also see it on the Cypress webcam:
https://www.skaping.com/cypress-mountai ... wKW51Cupsw

I couldn't see anything l think due to heavier cloud cover in the central valley but the Grouse camera you could see he greens. Global news had a photo taken from Lacarno beach looking north with greens as well quite the year for these sightings. We reached a high on Wednesday of 22c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[Hawk]

8i.JPG

Snow!!!!

An upper trough has brought in cooler-than-normal temperatures for parts of Western Canada this week.

This has also meant freezing levels that resemble October rather than August. Freezing levels have been at approximately 1800 metres, and normally they would be around 3000 metres at this time of the year.

Areas across British Columbia such as Whistler, Revelstoke and the Okanagan connector have already seen late-summer flakes of snow on Tuesday.

The precipitation will last through Wednesday in the alpine, with up to 30 cm possible in the Alberta Rockies. A pretty bold reminder that winter may be closer than you think.

Loving those troffs. Too bad the last 2 storms didnt happen in early January

[Hawk]

the next several days have Abby 26c-30c..slightly humid some days..meh. No real heat..again

[stuffradio]

Happy labour day weekend everyone!

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Ben Noll (a meteorologist on Twitter) replied to me and said he has 2005 and 2016 on his list

The very astute and accurate farmer's almanac has it dry and cool for the SW B.C. Go east it says for cold and snow we reached a high of 29c today at the pond in south Sardis.

[AbbyJr]

The 00Z HRDPS is hot and humid in Abbotsford on Saturday and Sunday.

Screenshot 2024-08-30 at 9.20.26 PM.png

Screenshot 2024-08-30 at 9.23.05 PM.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Any thoughts on ye old farts farmer almanac?
As per Ms. AuroraBorealiscreeks post of FB l grabbed this screen shot from Grouse Mtn. web cam nice colors tonight.

Screenshot_20240831_003952_Facebook.jpg

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

"Happy Labor Day Weekend" forum friends.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

We reached a toasty high of 31c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[Typeing3]

We reached a toasty high of 31c @ the pond in south Sardis.

High of 31c in east Coquitlam as well.

[Forrest Gump]

High of 31c in east Coquitlam as well.

Left for Guildford yesterday at 3pm , 23° at white rock departure, 30° at Guildford golf course arrival