November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Nice snow event on the GFS this Friday.
prateptype_cat-met.ca_w.png
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Neetzzz
B6CD84C3-EBF6-444C-8CE3-95E7FBF42F9A.thumb.png.1e68016c166321d3568ab72f4582d4d0.png
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Mid December... C'MON!!!!!

In the meantime... Thanks to Neetz ;) , the EAST may be getting SLAMMED with multiple reloads of :chilly: and possible Nor-Easters.
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 24, 2024 1:24 pm Inversion doesn't look promising for a freeze with potential clouds and fog putting a dent on overnight mins.

Really hoping we can hold off a freeze until January. It would be nice to keep the grass growing for my usual weekly mow. :thumbup:
2nd half of Dec Neetz.... :chilly: :flakey:

At least I hope so....
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 24, 2024 1:24 pm Inversion doesn't look promising for a freeze with potential clouds and fog putting a dent on overnight mins.

Really hoping we can hold off a freeze until January. It would be nice to keep the grass growing for my usual weekly mow. :thumbup:
If we all chip in and buy you Lawn Mowing Simulator can we start winter :flakey: :flakey: now? It's available on Steam: https://store.steampowered.com/app/1480 ... Simulator/
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:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-24.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-24T.png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image - 2024-11-24T1.png



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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Front loaded winter for the east! :chilly:
ecmwf_T2m_eus_81.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: Sun Nov 24, 2024 2:06 pm Nice snow event on the GFS this Friday. prateptype_cat-met.ca_w.png
GFS can't seem to project surface level cold well -- my guess is we see 400-600m snow levels with that setup.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

:dancepine: :dance:
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Sun Nov 24, 2024 3:29 pm Mid December... C'MON!!!!!

In the meantime... Thanks to Neetz ;) , the EAST may be getting SLAMMED with multiple reloads of :chilly: and possible Nor-Easters.

Wouldn't surprise me since we are in a -ENSO/+QBO phase. It seems unlikely to me that the cold doesn't shift west during such conditions. :thumbup: :wave:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Nov 24, 2024 5:28 pm GFS can't seem to project surface level cold well -- my guess is we see 400-600m snow levels with that setup.
GFS has been massively overdoing low level cold.

First time showed 5-10cm which turned into a slushy dusting on Burnaby Mountain.

2nd time showed 2-5cm tonight into tomorrow a few nights ago which turned into +6C rain .
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Nov 24, 2024 8:08 pm GFS has been massively overdoing low level cold.

First time showed 5-10cm which turned into a slushy dusting on Burnaby Mountain.

2nd time showed 2-5cm tonight into tomorrow a few nights ago which turned into +6C rain .
Not exactly dry.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_33.png
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Plenty of model riding. Buckle up everyone.
500h_anom.na.png
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:lol: :lol: :lol: Major snowstorm for Washington and damaging outflow winds for the Fraser Valley in the clown range on the 00Z GFS. :14clown: :wave:

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-3853600.png
gfs-deterministic-wcan-mslp_anom-3853600.png
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Sun Nov 24, 2024 8:30 pm Not exactly dry. gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_33.png
:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
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