December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

The models are known for sudden last minute flip flops, especially with wind events since a slight north or south shift can mean the difference between a gusty run of the mill solution and a damaging windstorm. Therefore, as you said, it's too soon to be able to predict the outcome.

That said, we haven't seen a top tier region wide windstorm since December 2018. So we are definitely long overdue.

The December 2018 one was crazy.

[Typeing3]

The 18Z shows a possible white New Years Eve?

Frost?

[AbbyJr]

The December 2018 one was crazy.

Without a doubt. YXX recorded a max gust of 113km/h. I remember going out walking in it and it was absolutely insane outside.

[AbbyJr]

Well the models are now taking those lows next week way north. Apparently we can't get an old school arctic blast or windstorm anymore.

[Typeing3]

Well the models are now taking those lows next week way north. Apparently we can't get an old school arctic blast or windstorm anymore.

On the bright side... looks like we will be avoiding a late December 1980 heatwave repeat. Don't think you'd want to see a low of 13c at YXX on Boxing Day.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Frost?

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c_min6-5732800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5732800.png

[AbbyJr]

Hard to complain about the Run-to-Run change across the main ensemble suites tonight.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_dprog-5819200.png

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_dprog-5819200.png

cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_dprog-5819200.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Definitely starting to get some hints of a pattern change. But first, more .

ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-4566400.png

[Hawk]

Definitely starting to get some hints of a pattern change. But first, more .

ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-4566400.png

So in ~10 days we hope to get back down to seasonal temps
#teamHope

Only 10 days away!!

[Hawk]

where the 850's at T3?

[stuffradio]

This could start to become a #beginningofJan thing instead of #beginningofFeb.

[Hawk]

This could start to become a #beginningofJan thing instead of #beginningofFeb.

i hope so..

side note:
How many nights has it dropped below freezing so far? Lolol. Lame.

[Typeing3]

where the 850's at T3?

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

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20241219150454-d00006ce179074c8f9d906083b1573692db74d41.png

20241219150440-f55bc22ad718c97b3d1b83e9216a07aa0a350bbd.png

[PortKells]

06 Z was actually…decent??

[Hound]

How many nights has it dropped below freezing so far? Lolol. Lame.

2? It's been so pathetic. Remember when Fall had clear nights and ice on puddles etc.?
It's sad how pathetic it has become around here.

On another note, look at this fun filled all inspiring forecast:

2024-12-19_105145.png