Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
PortKells
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by PortKells » Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:49 am
CFS:
cfs-daily-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_7day-7763200.png
GEFS:
gfs-ensemble-extended-all-avg-namer-t850_anom-7676800.png
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Monty
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by Monty » Thu Jan 02, 2025 2:13 am
PortKells wrote: ↑ Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:42 am
End of the Euro...
ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-7050400.png
Still looks pretty progressive to me but a cool down later in January is looking very likely
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
HarrisonSasquatchWx
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by HarrisonSasquatchWx » Thu Jan 02, 2025 3:20 am
PortKells wrote: ↑ Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:42 am
End of the Euro...
ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-7050400.png
Hmmm...Interesting we turned the page to 2025 and? is there a glimmer of hope stay tuned to as the models turn.
Hawk
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by Hawk » Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:43 am
Good morning and Happy New Year to all my WeatherNerd buttees
06GFS says enjoy more bommy temps and rains for the first half of January. The January curse continues T3!!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
wetcoast91
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by wetcoast91 » Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:50 am
There was a snow threat overnight but fortunately precip got shredded. Temps have since gradually moderated which now means we will see plain old rain later.
Hawk
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by Hawk » Thu Jan 02, 2025 10:10 am
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
stuffradio
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by stuffradio » Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:00 am
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑ Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:50 am
There was a snow threat overnight but fortunately precip got shredded. Temps have since gradually moderated which now means we will see plain old rain later.
I was scared about this. Thankfully that was avoided!
Catnip
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by Catnip » Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:32 am
12Z Euro has some fairly low snow levels around 15 days from now!
Cooler 2nd half/end of Jan has been shown on the longer range ensembles for a while now. OPs are starting to toy with the idea.
It also had some pretty warm air around for the end of next week. Not even the cold and snowy Similkameeeenz can escape the
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm
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PortKells
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by PortKells » Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:35 am
Catnip wrote: ↑ Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:32 am
12Z Euro has some fairly low snow levels around 15 days from now!
Cooler 2nd half/end of Jan has been shown on the longer range ensembles for a while now. OPs are starting to toy with the idea.
It also had some pretty warm air around for the end of next week. Not even the cold and snowy Similkameeeenz can escape the
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It’s easy to get discouraged after all this terrible weather but the signals are there.
3CC52D72-B309-47D1-A373-B13BE905C575.gif
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Hawk
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by Hawk » Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:48 am
PortKells wrote: ↑ Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:35 am
It’s easy to get discouraged after all this terrible weather but the signals are there.
3CC52D72-B309-47D1-A373-B13BE905C575.gif
Always only 14 days away!!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
PortKells
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by PortKells » Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:57 am
Hawk wrote: ↑ Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:48 am
Always only 14 days away!!
Again, I understand the frustration but It's only just recently started to look promising in that range. Not sure it'll turn into anything but the ridge retrograding has not been a feature within 15 days until about last night.
Catnip
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by Catnip » Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:01 pm
Hawk wrote: ↑ Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:48 am
Always only 14 days away!!
The longer range ensembles (GEFS, Weeklies) have been showing this for a bit now.
Some of the shorter term ensembles and OP runs are now toying with the same idea as later January is getting into their 15 day range.
Again, could mean absolute nothing this far out.
But it does give us a time period to watch.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm
Wx Stn:
https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Catnip
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by Catnip » Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:05 pm
CDN ensembles also has the ridge retrograding.
geps_z500_anom_noram_312.png
geps_z500_anom_noram_384.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm
Wx Stn:
https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
arbetrader
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by arbetrader » Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:22 pm
Happy new year everyone!
Who else was getting flurries this morning? Had a nice flurry for about 20 minutes at my place. Too warm to stick though. Still, nice to see
Catnip
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by Catnip » Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:39 pm
Weeklies just came out. Still going with the similar idea it has had for a while.
Some encouraging signs today with more models starting to come onboard with the idea of an increased chance that we at least trend cooler toward the end of the month... and perhaps finally break out of this stupid #patternlock.
10-15.png
15-20.png
20-25.png
25-30.png
30-35.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm
Wx Stn:
https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27