January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

CFS:
cfs-daily-all-avg-namer-t850_anom_7day-7763200.png
GEFS:

gfs-ensemble-extended-all-avg-namer-t850_anom-7676800.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:42 am End of the Euro...

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-7050400.png
Still looks pretty progressive to me but a cool down later in January is looking very likely
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22650
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 59992 times
Been thanked: 19781 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 12:42 am End of the Euro...

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-7050400.png
Hmmm...Interesting we turned the page to 2025 and? is there a glimmer of hope stay tuned to as the models turn. :wtf: :shifty:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8627
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17147 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Good morning and Happy New Year to all my WeatherNerd buttees :wave: :wave:
06GFS says enjoy more bommy temps and rains for the first half of January. The January curse continues T3!! :roll:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16337 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

There was a snow threat overnight but fortunately precip got shredded. Temps have since gradually moderated which now means we will see plain old rain later. :thumbup:
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8627
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17147 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:50 am There was a snow threat overnight but fortunately precip got shredded. Temps have since gradually moderated which now means we will see plain old rain later. :thumbup:
I'm glad that we avoided a potentially slippery Rush Hour this morning! :clap: :clap:
The snows are very struggling this winter Nito!! :cancel: :flakey: :flakey:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3125
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7523 times
Contact:

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 7:50 am There was a snow threat overnight but fortunately precip got shredded. Temps have since gradually moderated which now means we will see plain old rain later. :thumbup:
I was scared about this. Thankfully that was avoided!
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12Z Euro has some fairly low snow levels around 15 days from now! :thumbup: :lol: :mrgreen:

Cooler 2nd half/end of Jan has been shown on the longer range ensembles for a while now. OPs are starting to toy with the idea.

It also had some pretty warm air around for the end of next week. Not even the cold and snowy Similkameeeenz can escape the :blowtor:
3.png
1.png
2.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:32 am 12Z Euro has some fairly low snow levels around 15 days from now! :thumbup: :lol: :mrgreen:

Cooler 2nd half/end of Jan has been shown on the longer range ensembles for a while now. OPs are starting to toy with the idea.

It also had some pretty warm air around for the end of next week. Not even the cold and snowy Similkameeeenz can escape the :blowtor:

3.png
1.png
2.png
It’s easy to get discouraged after all this terrible weather but the signals are there.
3CC52D72-B309-47D1-A373-B13BE905C575.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8627
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17147 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:35 am It’s easy to get discouraged after all this terrible weather but the signals are there.

3CC52D72-B309-47D1-A373-B13BE905C575.gif
Always only 14 days away!! 8-)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:48 am Always only 14 days away!! 8-)
Again, I understand the frustration but It's only just recently started to look promising in that range. Not sure it'll turn into anything but the ridge retrograding has not been a feature within 15 days until about last night.
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2025 11:48 am Always only 14 days away!! 8-)
The longer range ensembles (GEFS, Weeklies) have been showing this for a bit now.

Some of the shorter term ensembles and OP runs are now toying with the same idea as later January is getting into their 15 day range.

Again, could mean absolute nothing this far out.

But it does give us a time period to watch.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

CDN ensembles also has the ridge retrograding.
geps_z500_anom_noram_312.png
geps_z500_anom_noram_384.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
arbetrader
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 295
Joined: Thu Feb 28, 2019 8:16 am
Location: Abbotsford East
Elevation: 100ft
Has thanked: 174 times
Been thanked: 698 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by arbetrader »

Happy new year everyone!

Who else was getting flurries this morning? Had a nice flurry for about 20 minutes at my place. Too warm to stick though. Still, nice to see ;)
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Weeklies just came out. Still going with the similar idea it has had for a while.

Some encouraging signs today with more models starting to come onboard with the idea of an increased chance that we at least trend cooler toward the end of the month... and perhaps finally break out of this stupid #patternlock.
10-15.png
15-20.png
20-25.png
25-30.png
30-35.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Post Reply