January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Thank you for those that are giving us a synopsis of what may happen it's not easy this far out and comes with a disclaimer. Csnip, Tman. :thumbup: Jr man's model analysis Feb 2017 wasn't it January 27th 2017 when the models flipped l remember E L Neety was saying he came back from dinner out to the model flip.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 00Z GFS still ejects most of the cold offshore. We better hope the models are wrong about this otherwise it will be a much milder solution. :bang:

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-8670400.png
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

The ole doughnut hole!
IMG_3071.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:44 pm The 00Z GFS still ejects most of the cold offshore. We better hope the models are wrong about this otherwise it will be a much milder solution. :bang:
It's all good young grasshopper. 🦗 :D
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:46 pm The ole doughnut hole!

IMG_3071.png
Over Skippers house l win. :lol:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Island is in the hammer zone on this run.


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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:44 pm The 00Z GFS still ejects most of the cold offshore. We better hope the models are wrong about this otherwise it will be a much milder solution. :bang:


gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-8670400.png
You went all in too soon Jr!

:lol: :mrgreen:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:44 pm The 00Z GFS still ejects most of the cold offshore. We better hope the models are wrong about this otherwise it will be a much milder solution. :bang:


gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-8670400.png
Umm eerrr that's not good. :x
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:48 pm You went all in too soon Jr!

:lol: :mrgreen:
That will correct it self still 6 or 7 days out Catballs?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:50 pm That will correct it self still 6 or 7 days out Catballs?
Ya, personally I’d just look at the end of this week/weekend. Even that isn’t decided yet, let alone next week.

:wave:
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:catnip: :alert:

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:16 pm You need that trough to shift ever so slightly eastward. Most energy remains far offshore. You see a developing shortwave on Sunday but this gets pushed away by the outflow.

Moisture totals aren't the best.
Image
Typically see an east trend in the lead up to a modeled cold snap. We'll see!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:51 pm Ya, personally I’d just look at the end of this week/weekend. Even that isn’t decided yet, let alone next week.

:wave:
Right and that's the problem with the AF there looking for perfection the whole run. I would be excited at the possibilities this weekend 7 days out is who cares territory at this point.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Still pretty chilly

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Friday high
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:44 pm The 00Z GFS still ejects most of the cold offshore. We better hope the models are wrong about this otherwise it will be a much milder solution. :bang:


gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-8670400.png
It did shift east in comparison with the 18z. Baby steps.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:52 pm Typically see an east trend in the lead up to a modeled cold snap. We'll see!
So it's best if it shows further off shore so it can trend east over the next few days and be in the sweet spot by go time?
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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