January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:38 am ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-8659600.thumb.png.f1e359e9ea8785de852bf755ba4c9794.png
Looks like a doughnut hole over the Banana Belt. @CanadaGoose and myself are looking forward to 5cm. :lol:
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Weather101 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:54 am No idea why i read that as Pornoman.
Cause Fish takes too many liberties with nicknames and has called him that on multiple occasions
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Weather101
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Radar wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:55 am I need to know when the rain starts so I can hide. Spotwx is all over the place for start time.
LOL
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Canada Goose
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:55 am Looks like a doughnut hole over the Banana Belt. @CanadaGoose and myself are looking forward to 0.5cm. :lol:
Fixed.
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Weather101
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:57 am Cause Fish takes too many liberties with nicknames and has called him that on multiple occasions
See, I knew for a fact my brain was like " you've seen this before " :lol:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:49 am Plus the high-res 3km version shows nothing of the sort.

nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8368000.png
No snow then for Friday or Saturday
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 10:01 am Some photos of Mundy Lake from this morning.


IMG_3106 (Medium).jpg
IMG_3105 (Medium).jpg
IMG_3104 (Medium).jpg
IMG_3103 (Medium).jpg
I was gonna mention that in a post. The recent extended chilly stretch every morning has primed local lakes/ponds for a hard freeze should we see an arctic blast next week, given they're already covered in patchy or full ice.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 12:00 pm I was gonna mention that in a post. The recent extended chilly stretch every morning has primed local lakes/ponds for a hard freeze should we see an arctic blast next week, given they're already covered in patchy or full ice.
Although there's ice on Dolphin bog, near me, I think it'll only be thick enough for a swim 😆
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: :alert: :alert:

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-8152000.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-surface_analysis_vis_summary-8152000.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Bring on the cold!!
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 11:55 am Looks like a doughnut hole over the Banana Belt. @CanadaGoose and myself are looking forward to 5cm. :lol:
Convergence zone setup? Feb 2019 and Jan 2020 had one. Some areas saw 20-30cm in a few hours while other nearby areas got much less. :wave: :flakey:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Euro ensembles are finally out, and they look snowy.
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-8152000.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-indiv_snow-8152000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 12:30 pm :alert: :alert: :alert:


ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-8152000.png

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-surface_analysis_vis_summary-8152000.png
That is a decent stretch of below normal temps.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 12:35 pm Euro ensembles are finally out, and they look snowy.
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-8152000.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-indiv_snow-8152000.png
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 29, 2025 9:37 am Onshore flow on Sat. Will need to see 850mb temps below -6c for snow down to sea level.

From what I saw last night, Sunday looked more interesting snow-wise with the arctic front pushing through as the low circulates offshore with precip bands moving through the Lower Mainland.
Agreed. 12z RGEM has 850mb temps from -6c to -7c over the Lower Mainland on Saturday, so it is definitely in the realm of possibility!
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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