January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

18z GFS looks to dig the trough west a touch more. A little less snow in the Lower Mainland with that.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

tyweather wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 1:57 pm North of Campbell River near Woss
Image
They always do well up there
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Spuzzum »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 1:48 pm Sounds exciting WPro!

In regards to the forum, is it better to try and get it moved over soon even with all this excitement, or should I wait until it dies down a little just in case something screws up?
Do you have the option to upgrade the current web hosting account package to one with higher specs (storage, memory, bandwidth, etc.) from the current provider? That would be the easiest (and maybe cheapest) solution.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:02 pm 18z GFS looks to dig the trough west a touch more. A little less snow in the Lower Mainland with that.
Less for the Valley, western parts of metro Vancouver still hanging on to heavier amounts.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

It's turned back to snow on Mt. Washington. I will follow the temp progression up there.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 1:48 pm Sounds exciting WPro!

In regards to the forum, is it better to try and get it moved over soon even with all this excitement, or should I wait until it dies down a little just in case something screws up?
Let's wait. No reason to risk the forum going down for an extended period during this current winter forecast fun. :thumbup: :wave:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:02 pm 18z GFS looks to dig the trough west a touch more. A little less snow in the Lower Mainland with that.
Icon is digging the trough a bit deeper offshore as well. These are micro details that could mean the difference between 2-5cm and 15-30cm.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Our local forecast called for the temperature to drop to 0 this afternoon. It is currently 7.1. Although the afternoon lasts until 5pm, we have a loooong way to drop.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Michael1 wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:25 pm Our local forecast called for the temperature to drop to 0 this afternoon. It is currently 7.1. Although the afternoon lasts until 5pm, we have a loooong way to drop.
Insane forecast. It's not even 0C in Port Hardy or Bella Coola.

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:18 pm Icon is digging the trough a bit deeper offshore as well. These are micro details that could mean the difference between 2-5cm and 15-30cm.
Time to get into HRDPS. GFS is becoming pretty useless.
Some heavy snow Saturday overnight into Sunday morning.
hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh40-48.gif
hrdps_asnow_nwus_48.png
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Last edited by Storm on Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:28 pm Time to get into HRDPS. GFS is becoming pretty useless.
Some heavy snow Saturday overnight into Sunday morning.
hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh40-48.gif
Was speaking more to the lack of snow in Eastern Metro Van and the Fraser Valley.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

18Z NAM 3km continues the trend of scaling back our amounts. Not really showing a whole lot on either Saturday or Sunday. :thumbdown:

Though amounts do seem to be picking up on Sunday night.
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8562400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:31 pm 18Z NAM 3km continues the trend of scaling back our amounts. Not really showing a whole lot on either Saturday or Sunday. :thumbdown:

Though amounts do seem to be picking up on Sunday night.

nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8562400.png
Can you post HRDPS
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 2:30 pm Was speaking more to the lack of snow in Eastern Metro Van and the Fraser Valley.
I know. For Mesoscale models within 48 hours.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

HRDPS sorta looks interesting for western areas. Most of what is shown there falls in the final 6 hours.
hrdps-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-8519200.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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