January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Nordelian
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Storm wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:32 pm That's what I think it's reasonable. Where do you see this?
SpotWx shows the "meteocode" under the area forecasts, basically click on the map and scroll to the bottom. The grey box shows the area it applies for when you click it

Click the extended - those totals don't make it into their forecast because they are after the 48 hour cutoff it seems
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Storm wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:32 pm That's what I think it's reasonable. Where do you see this?
For sure. I just don't think we should discount the Euro, which continues to show the heavy snow extending into the Fraser Valley. :think: :wave:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:38 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:27 pmOh lord.
Rebuild :roll:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Nordelian wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:28 pm I'm doing great, thanks for asking! My wife is due any day now, we are super excited.
Congratulations, hopefully things go smoothly. Let’s turn the page.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Nordelian wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:34 pm SpotWx shows the "meteocode" under the area forecasts, basically click on the map and scroll to the bottom. The grey box shows the area it applies for when you click it

Click the extended - those totals don't make it into their forecast because they are after the 48 hour cutoff it seems
The forecast seems pretty reasonable to me.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Hawk wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:21 pm EC says "Flurries" this weekend with slightly warmer temps than previously modeled/forecast :think: :think:
Lets see where we're at by Feb 4 or 5 :flakey:
They didnt change the weekend temps much here , but they have them rising a little higher during the week. I guess we're supposed to collect models and forecasts and use the random throw of a dart to determine which is the most accurate lol
Last edited by Michael1 on Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:36 pm It's possible. I just don't think we should discount the Euro, which continues to show the heavy snow extending into the Fraser Valley. :think: :wave:
Definitely agree
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Nordelian wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:28 pm I'm doing great, thanks for asking! My wife is due any day now, we are super excited.
Congratulations
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Nordelian wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:28 pm I'm doing great, thanks for asking! My wife is due any day now, we are super excited.
Congrats on the new baby! A snow baby! You must bring him/her up in the ways of the forum.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Nordelian wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:34 pm SpotWx shows the "meteocode" under the area forecasts, basically click on the map and scroll to the bottom. The grey box shows the area it applies for when you click it

Click the extended - those totals don't make it into their forecast because they are after the 48 hour cutoff it seems
48 hours seems reasonable before making a call on amounts. That why I want te see HRDPS range before jump on this too high or low. Having said that this looks like a pretty good deal of a snow storm.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Ok here’s the new hrdps. Pretty great for only Sunday evening.

Edit; Sunday at noon. Wow.
61B47534-AB60-4E71-A5B8-E341A3E41A12.png
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:36 pm For sure. I just don't think we should discount the Euro, which continues to show the heavy snow extending into the Fraser Valley. :think: :wave:
I wasn't thinking of the Valley for the amounts. I have never seen the Euro so snowy for the whole Mainland so yes hopefully it's right.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Wintergirl »

WeatherPro wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 1:44 pm :alert: :alert: :flakey: Snow Storm Alert!!! :flakey: :alert: :alert:

Major snow event to hit lower mainland Saturday night!

After seeing a bit of sticking snow at higher elevations last night and this morning, things have warmed up a bit. A slight southern push has warmed southern regions and low lying areas. This will be short lived. Temps will start to fall this evening slowly bringing a chance of wet snow/hail at higher elevations, like Burnaby Mountain overnight.

Starting tonight and tomorrow the atmosphere will be very dynamic bringing the chance of short intense bursts of flurries or thunder showers with hail. As the cold air moves in and clashes with the warmer air it may make for some exciting weather.

1cm of snow possible tonight over those higher areas.

Saturday we will see convective showers/flurries and possible bands of heavy flurries stream across the lower mainland. Possible 3 cm of snow in localized areas are possible. Sea level may still only see showers until the evening rolls around.

Saturday evening/night is when the heavy snow begins. This will spread throughout the lower mainland from Hope to Richmond as the cold front heads west. 8 cm over night in the valley and 10 cm over Vancouver are possible.

Sunday the snow continues and eventually the eastern sections of the valley will start to dry out a bit, causing blowing snow as the wind picks up into Sunday. Accumulations by Sunday could see a total of 15 to 20 cm in the Fraser Valley, and up to 30 cm in western sections of metro Vancouver at higher elevations. Sea level could see around 10 cm. Average snowfall should be around 15 - 25 cm around the lower mainland by Sunday over night.

Flurries could continue into Monday bring further amounts, but they will be lower, perhaps around 5 cm or so. Winds will pick up so blowing snow will be an issue from Hope to Surrey. Tuesday gets cold and everything will be frozen by then. Should see some decent weather in the week with chances of flurries. Next weekend looks like another potential snow storm, but too early to call.

All of this could change in many ways as is the usual case, but this is how it currently looks. Some areas may do better, some worse, but everyone will get some measure of snow and head into a cold period that could last 2 weeks. Over night lows may be impressive!

After all the rain today, you may be able to skate on frozen fields or other area that collect water.

Eastern Vancouver Island could see snow star on Saturday and see 10 cm and as the outflow picks up, further amounts of 10 cm could be produced for around 20 cm in total over the weekend. Naniamo should get a decent amount of snow.

There are some signals that coastal sliders may develop or a stationary low, if that occurs, you can add more to your snow totals! As those are a bit unpredictable as we have seen in the past. One of those things could get parked and spew out 20cm of snow on it's own!! Keep an eye on them!

WP
What about Squamish? No one ever mentions us so just curious! Would love to hear your thoughts on us up here :)
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

PortKells wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:40 pm Ok here’s the new hrdps. Pretty great for only Sunday evening.

Edit; Sunday at noon. Wow.

61B47534-AB60-4E71-A5B8-E341A3E41A12.png
You can see the HRDPS has a ribbon of snow that is stationary and just unloads over metro Van.

Will be really important to see Sunday morning where this actually sets up because those areas will be the big winners.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Jan 31, 2025 4:39 pm Congrats on the new baby! A snow baby! You must bring him/her up in the ways of the forum.
Someone has to balance my 7 children!
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