Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Roberts Creeker
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by Roberts Creeker » Wed Aug 20, 2025 10:48 pm
AbbyJr wrote: ↑ Wed Aug 20, 2025 10:10 pm
The 00Z GEM wants to keep the heat going for 8 days straight. Similar to the July 2018 heatwave in terms of temperatures and duration.
gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5734400.png
I don't mind the 3 day heatwaves but 8 days is a lot!
EC has a much more reasonable 27c high with cool night. It's not too bad when you can cool the house down overnight.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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by HarrisonSasquatchWx » Thu Aug 21, 2025 1:49 am
Glacier wrote: ↑ Wed Aug 20, 2025 12:23 pm
A bit stormy in Kansas...
536019760_10172071281700632_6917245807793829759_n.jpg
Not much thrust Glace.
HarrisonSasquatchWx
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by HarrisonSasquatchWx » Thu Aug 21, 2025 1:51 am
AbbyJr wrote: ↑ Wed Aug 20, 2025 10:10 pm
The 00Z GEM wants to keep the heat going for 8 days straight. Similar to the July 2018 heatwave in terms of temperatures and duration.
gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5734400.png
37c for Hope OMG that's a bit much hopefully this time of year overnight low's will give us a reprieve.
Hawk
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by Hawk » Thu Aug 21, 2025 7:36 am
AbbyJr wrote: ↑ Wed Aug 20, 2025 10:10 pm
The 00Z GEM wants to keep the heat going for 8 days straight. Similar to the July 2018 heatwave in terms of temperatures and duration.
gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5734400.png
models and graphs are great. But climo says we peak out for 3-4 days max at ~31-32c. We will see!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
PortKells
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by PortKells » Thu Aug 21, 2025 8:02 am
Hawk wrote: ↑ Thu Aug 21, 2025 7:36 am
models and graphs are great. But climo says we peak out for 3-4 days max at ~31-32c. We will see!
I just looked at the graphs. It’s going to be a bloodbath, climo be damned.
AbbyJr
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by AbbyJr » Thu Aug 21, 2025 11:55 am
ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-5777600.png
nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5795600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5777600.png
gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5777600.png
gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5777600.png
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Central Abbotsford
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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by Rubus_Leucodermis » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:24 pm
AbbyJr wrote: ↑ Thu Aug 21, 2025 11:55 am
ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-5777600.png
nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5795600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5777600.png
gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5777600.png
gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5777600.png
Interesting how the blend is generally warmer than any of {Euro, GEM, GFS}.
It's called clown range for a reason.
HarrisonSasquatchWx
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by HarrisonSasquatchWx » Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:46 pm
Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑ Thu Aug 21, 2025 12:24 pm
Interesting how the blend is generally warmer than any of {Euro, GEM, GFS}.
It figures Rubes we crash just in time for the Labor Day weekend
it's currently 24c @ the pond in south Sardis.
PortKells
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by PortKells » Thu Aug 21, 2025 2:42 pm
#BeginningofFeb is looking good
cfs-mon_01_T850a_us_6.png
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AbbyJr
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by AbbyJr » Thu Aug 21, 2025 3:25 pm
PortKells wrote: ↑ Thu Aug 21, 2025 2:42 pm
#BeginningofFeb is looking good
cfs-mon_01_T850a_us_6.png
Good to hear from you. Nice to have you back here.
Central Abbotsford
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Hawk
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by Hawk » Thu Aug 21, 2025 5:46 pm
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Typeing3
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by Typeing3 » Thu Aug 21, 2025 5:55 pm
Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles
12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (14).png
12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60 (13).png
12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (14).png
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#MrJanuary
AbbyJr
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by AbbyJr » Thu Aug 21, 2025 6:19 pm
Here are the latest Euro AIFS ensembles and National Blend of Models:
ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_tmp-5799200.png
nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5817200.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
Canada Goose
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by Canada Goose » Thu Aug 21, 2025 6:52 pm
35-40°C for the hottest places of the province.
John
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by John » Thu Aug 21, 2025 7:37 pm
Hawk wrote: ↑ Wed Aug 20, 2025 6:49 pm
It is possible. But the way this "moderate" summer weather has been, im not betting on any major heat in Sept. Maybe even earlier pineapples this year
Well said
Last edited by
John on Thu Aug 21, 2025 7:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.