October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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tyweather
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

I was looking at my pictures from 2016-2017 winter. We had snow an cold in December, January, February and March that year. Here is a picture of the snow piles at Guildford Mall in February.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (12).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (13).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (14).png



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20251011000852-1497dd1afacda21e7f0bc5d2f764cb300c4348c0.png
20251011000842-d890ce57ab8ce8ddb8ead500c1d6962aecabffc7.png
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Could see our first frost on Monday morning, if it clears out on Sunday evening. Not looking too likely at this point unfortunately.
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Oct 10, 2025 5:11 pm Could see our first frost on Monday morning, if it clears out on Sunday evening. Not looking too likely at this point unfortunately.
Looks like strong farctic outflow winds on Monday gusting 50 to 70km/h. Don't think I'll get a frost under those conditions here. :lol: :wave:
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Oct 10, 2025 6:32 pm Looks like strong farctic outflow winds on Monday gusting 50 to 70km/h. Don't think I'll get a frost under those conditions here. :lol: :wave:
Are annus outflow winds in the forecast for the fraser valley l didn't look. :o it's currently 12.3c @ the lake in Harrison.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: Fri Oct 10, 2025 12:19 pm I was looking at my pictures from 2016-2017 winter. We had snow an cold in December, January, February and March that year. Here is a picture of the snow piles at Guildford Mall in February.
That bike has been an icon in Ty my man's winter shots my fav. is the winter shots with the bike in the snow and a long shadow of the bike. l believe it was taken in Vanderhoof or perhaps down here.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: Fri Oct 10, 2025 12:19 pm I was looking at my pictures from 2016-2017 winter. We had snow an cold in December, January, February and March that year. Here is a picture of the snow piles at Guildford Mall in February.
That bike has been an icon in Ty my man's winter shots my fav. is the winter shot with the bike in the snow and a long shadow of the bike. l believe it was taken in Vanderhoof or perhaps down here.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Fri Oct 10, 2025 8:26 pm Are annus outflow winds in the forecast for the fraser valley l didn't look. :o it's currently 12.3c @ the lake in Harrison.
Yes. A weak arctic high moves into the BC interior with a weak low offshore. Should set the stage for a sunny breezy day. :clap: :wave:

Map valid for 10:00AM:

xx_model-en-193-0_modcanreg_2025101100_65_15805_149.png
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert:
looks like my Similks cabin country be getting its 1st snows on Sunday :flakey: :flakey: according to EC
#quitenormalinOct
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

I’m really liking the continuation of the soccer team forecasts like 4/4/2 or 3/3/4 etc. Much better than endless days of :dance: :dance:
Warm and sunny then chilly troffs. Perfect.. as we roll towards November. :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Fri Oct 10, 2025 8:36 am we need the current weather pattern to arrive Dec 1 and lock in for 2 months :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
#coldandsnowywinter
Tell 'Em Buttee!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

In a month we'd be talking about a modified arctic front with light snow accompanied by weak outflow, followed by hard freezes with this pattern over the next few days.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh24-72.gif
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Heavy rains on the long range 12z GFS (day 11-16). :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh264-384.gif
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 11, 2025 5:41 pm Heavy rains on the long range 12z GFS (day 11-16). :raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh264-384.gif
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Re: October 2025 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

There were periods of heavy rains this afternoon/evening in Chilliwack.
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