November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (54).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (55).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (56).png



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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Nov 18, 2025 9:30 am Thinking we will predominantly see an East based cold setup next month now. There's no real substantial blocking out in the pacific to facilitate any meaningful cold West of the Rocky's. Cold is building in the Yukon which will probably dump into the Midwest and progress eastward in early December.
I'm going to Ottawa for Christmas. I'll be there December 23rd to the 26th. Should be plenty cold there. Maybe I'll luck out and catch a snowstorm before the cold shifts west in January. Would be a real treat to experience winter both back east and out here. But I'm probably dreaming. :lol: :silent: :wave:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Thick fog out there this evening. Currently 4c in east Coquitlam.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Nov 18, 2025 6:11 pm East Coast ice box! :chilly:

I think we may be waiting for the late December through mid January period (i.e. Dec 20-Jan 15) for any meaningful cold air, although seasonal weather at this point is good for mountain snow. Been a very warm start to November and have some catching up to do in that department.
The MJO is modelled to go into phase 7 around the beginning of December. Normally this would bold well for us but the SSW may actually work against us this time. It's hard to say though as the models can flip back and forth dramatically at this range. I still think it snows next month. :wave: :flakey:

It should be noted that the models usually go into complete chaos leading up to SSW events so I'd take the clown range with an extra grain of salt.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Brrr cold tonight. +1.4c at 11pm
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06z gfs is very ridgy. Sorry Goose, but it looks like a very dry run to end November. Precip will likely end up well below normal. On top of all that, any lowland snow is very unlikely at this point
:sorry:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Low of 0c earlier this AM in east Coquitlam. First freeze since November 4th.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Looks like some low snow levels towards the end of next week on the 12Z GFS.

Hopefully the mountains can start to pick up something at least.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 9:28 am Low of 0c earlier this AM in east Coquitlam. First freeze since November 4th.
As per usual, a "warmer" low of +0.8 up the hill.

Frosty morning.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 9:28 am Low of 0c earlier this AM in east Coquitlam. First freeze since November 4th.
:o No freeze yet @ the lake in Harrison. :x
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Snow??

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 9:37 am :o No freeze yet @ the lake in Harrison. :x
Same here. Low of 2.1C this morning, which is the coldest I've gotten so far.

Even YXX with their sensitive thermometer hasn't recorded a freeze yet.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 10:33 am Snow??

Image
It'll trend north Ty my man as per usual. :x
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 10:34 am Same here. Low of 2.1C this morning, which is the coldest I've gotten so far.

Even YXX with their sensitive thermometer hasn't recorded a freeze yet.
Yeah a tad bit insane Abby sr. seems Mission east is a no go zone for frost so far this season. It's weird it seems the wind has kept temperatures up during the clear mornings dang.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 9:28 am Low of 0c earlier this AM in east Coquitlam. First freeze since November 4th.
Didn't quite get there in Sechelt +0.8c.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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