November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Abby_wx
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 10:53 am Yeah a tad bit insane Abby sr. seems Mission east is a no go zone for frost so far this season. It's weird it seems the wind has kept temperatures up during the clear mornings dang.
Yeah, any time there is a slight inversion (which seems like most of the time) it doesn't take much wind to prevent a freeze.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Well at least l have this to view @ the lake in Harrison. :x
IMG_20251119_112001511.jpg
IMG_20251119_111941988.jpg
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Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

The peak of Christmas 🎄 starts on November 21st on Grouse mountain not looking very Christmasy at all :lol: what a disaster so far.
Screenshot_20251119-104617.Chrome.png
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Canada Goose wrote: Tue Nov 18, 2025 1:13 pm The good news? Lack of rain (4th driest November than normal in a row), no snow and that would be good news?
At least we are seeing sunshine?

It really feels like we have lost November as a dynamic weather month. We either see warm advection rains that don't amount to much or penetrate the coastal ranges, "dry" split flow or the odd Atmospheric river. No more significant storms or temperature swings. I would say even early December has become boring as well.

Also looks like we will be in a moderately strong +ENSO state in 2026.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 12:43 pm At least we are seeing sunshine?

It really feels like we have lost November as a dynamic weather month. We either see warm advection rains that don't amount to much or penetrate the coastal ranges, "dry" split flow or the odd Atmospheric river. No more significant storms or temperature swings. I would say even early December has become boring as well.

Also looks like we will be in a moderately strong +ENSO state in 2026.
My complaint exactly. November used to feature fairly dynamic weather around here. But it's been calm and boring for the most part as of recent. :bang: :x
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 12:43 pm At least we are seeing sunshine?

It really feels like we have lost November as a dynamic weather month. We either see warm advection rains that don't amount to much or penetrate the coastal ranges, "dry" split flow or the odd Atmospheric river. No more significant storms or temperature swings. I would say even early December has become boring as well.

Also looks like we will be in a moderately strong +ENSO state in 2026.
February has become the new November.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 12:43 pm
Also looks like we will be in a moderately strong +ENSO state in 2026.
We thought that last year as well, but the opposite materialized. I'm not sure that even the 3-7 year period for enso is stable any more, in a rapidly warming climate. Everything is more volatile, when looking too far ahead. For comparison, here are last year's November models and this year's November models:
2204r.png
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 2:40 pm February has become the new November.
Not at all. February is by far the driest month of the rainy season (Oct. - March). Recent Februaries were cold and snowy. We're just looking for rainy months.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 12:31 pm Well at least l have this to view @ the lake in Harrison. :x IMG_20251119_112001511.jpgIMG_20251119_111941988.jpg
Hopefully you'll get to post a picture of a frozen lagoon this winter!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

TWN will release their winter forecast next week
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

HarrisonSasquatchWx wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 12:31 pm Well at least l have this to view @ the lake in Harrison.
Ya, we expect you will post photos when the lake starts to freeze. Better find some cool spots to get photos from.

There used to be a cafe in Harrison I visited 2 times and they had the best cream of mushroom soup. Not sure the name, I have not been in Harrison for many years. So it's probably gone.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 5:12 pm TWN will release their winter forecast next week
:lol: Mild with dancing pineapples no doubt. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Hound wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 5:22 pm Ya, we expect you will post photos when the lake starts to freeze. Better find some cool spots to get photos from.

There used to be a cafe in Harrison I visited 2 times and they had the best cream of mushroom soup. Not sure the name, I have not been in Harrison for many years. So it's probably gone.
Ah man there's several lake front cafe's bro Muddy Waters has excellent soups l tried a couple of times pricey though.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Hound wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 5:22 pm Ya, we expect you will post photos when the lake starts to freeze. Better find some cool spots to get photos from.

There used to be a cafe in Harrison I visited 2 times and they had the best cream of mushroom soup. Not sure the name, I have not been in Harrison for many years. So it's probably gone.
Perhaps the lagoon could, it would be epic if the lake froze to much wind l'm guessing to keep it from freezing Houndy.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 19, 2025 4:50 pm Hopefully you'll get to post a picture of a frozen lagoon this winter!
Yes that would definitely freeze over Catnipper. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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