November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

At least we are seeing sunshine?

It really feels like we have lost November as a dynamic weather month. We either see warm advection rains that don't amount to much or penetrate the coastal ranges, "dry" split flow or the odd Atmospheric river. No more significant storms or temperature swings. I would say even early December has become boring as well.

Also looks like we will be in a moderately strong +ENSO state in 2026.

November 2021 and 2022 were both quite dynamic, in terms of precipitation and temperature.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

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12z ECMWF ensembles:

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12z GEM ensembles:

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[Canada Goose]

November 2021 and 2022 were both quite dynamic, in terms of precipitation and temperature.

2021, yes, of course. Not 2022. Here are the last 4 months of November in Coquitlam...

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[Typeing3]

2021, yes, of course. Not 2022. Here are the last 4 Novembers in Coquitlam...


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Nov 2022 was dynamic as we had snow in the first week of the month and the temp crash and snowstorm at the end of the month. Dynamic doesn't just translate to lots of rain. Temps, winds, precip type comes into play as well.

[AbbyJr]

November 2021 and 2022 were both quite dynamic, in terms of precipitation and temperature.

Both November 2021 and 2022 were fairly dynamic with 2021 being the obvious winner given the excessive rainfall. However, the one thing that has been missing as of recent has been a region wide windstorm with gusts in the 100-110km/h range. Those used to be far more frequent. The last major storm was December 20th, 2018. That's almost 7 years ago. As I've said before, 2006/07 and 2007/08 were the most dynamic winters I've experienced since moving here in the summer of 2004. Both featured several major region wide wind and snowstorms. The November 2006 storm cycle began with a major Atmospheric River and then was followed by back to back windstorms with a sudden shift to cold and an all out blizzard at the end of the month. Then we have 2007, which had multiple big windstorms in November and then a major snowstorm in early December, which was followed by a sudden shift to damaging winds and a major warmup. Felt like a Chinook. Heavy snow to strong winds, gusting to 111km/h and then a sudden temperature rise to 15.4C at YXX. As dynamic as it gets here. It sure would be nice to have a repeat of one of those analogs.

[Roberts Creeker]

Both November 2021 and 2022 were fairly dynamic with 2021 being the obvious winner given the excessive rainfall. However, the one thing that has been missing as of recent has been a region wide windstorm with gusts in the 100-110km/h range. Those used to be far more frequent. The last major storm was December 20th, 2018. That's almost 7 years ago. As I've said before, 2006/07 and 2007/08 were the most dynamic winters I've experienced since moving here in the summer of 2004. Both featured several major region wide wind and snowstorms. The November 2006 storm cycle began with a major Atmospheric River and then was followed by back to back windstorms with a sudden shift to cold and an all out blizzard at the end of the month. Then we have 2007, which had multiple big windstorms in November and then a major snowstorm in early December, which was followed by a sudden shift to damaging winds and a major warmup. Felt like a Chinook. Heavy snow to strong winds, gusting to 111km/h and then a sudden temperature rise to 15.4C at YXX. As dynamic as it gets here. It sure would be nice to have a repeat of one of those analogs.

Last November 4 was the tornado in Sechelt, I'm quite happy to pass on any more windstorms.
(happy little trees everywhere)
https://www.coastreporter.net/local-new ... ts-9804273

[Hawk]

06z gfs is showing a potential slushy mess next week..only 6-10 days away!
Nov 26-30 looks like a Catnip Hill special iibh

[stuffradio]

I have been listening to this guys videos from time to time. He is a meteorologist. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nj1jc5mxmi8

He talks about how December is similar to 1983 and Joe Bastardi was also pointing it out.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I have been listening to this guys videos from time to time. He is a meteorologist. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nj1jc5mxmi8

He talks about how December is similar to 1983 and Joe Bastardi was also pointing it out.

Yesterday l noticed Christmas decorations are up in Chilliwack along Luckakuk way and parts of Vedder in Stuffers new hood.

[stuffradio]

Chilliwack City had some snow in December 1983 https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1983

[tyweather]

12Z has some slush next week and then something more a week later. But hopefully ski season can start!

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Chilliwack City had some snow in December 1983 https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1983

December was decent for cold, 2 events stood out that year the B.C Lions lost 18-17 to the Toronto Arenogoods in the first ever Grey Cup @ B.C. Place stadium. Then in December very cold Arctic air settled over the lower mainland just in time for Christmas around Dec.17th then l remember a snowfall warning was issued for Vancouver on Christmas Eve. it was a bust we were in Richmond for Christmas all we got was some freezing rain Christmas night Christmas day was dry l'll never forget that bust.

[Catnip]

Looks like there could be some #surprises coming up as we get towards the tail end of the month and into December.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Looks like there could be some #surprises coming up as we get towards the tail end of the month and into December.

Yeah more apperances from EL Neeetzz.

[Hawk]

Looks like there could be some #surprises coming up as we get towards the tail end of the month and into December.

tell em Catnip!